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Varea vs Oyonesa

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Garcia M.

AI Match Summary

Oyonesa in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oyonesa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Varea
33%
Draws
40%
Oyonesa
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Oyonesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Varea have won more games recently than Oyonesa.
  • Oyonesa are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Varea Clean Sheet 18%
Oyonesa Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varea Oyonesa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Oyonesa
0:2
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Oyonesa vs Varea
0:0
May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Oyonesa
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Oyonesa vs Varea
0:1
Jun 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Oyonesa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varea Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Oyonesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varea 28 / 100
Oyonesa 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varea Oyonesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OYO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varea's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Oyonesa conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Varea has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Varea VS Oyonesa
1 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Varea

(Home)
24 May
Varea
0 : 2
Oyonesa
17 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Varea
10 May
Varea
0 : 1
Oyonesa
03 May
Pradejon
0 : 1
Varea
26 Apr
Varea
0 : 0
Anguiano
Page 1 of 6

Oyonesa

(Away)
07 Jun
Arnedo
3 : 2
Oyonesa
31 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Arnedo
24 May
Varea
0 : 2
Oyonesa
17 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Varea
10 May
Varea
0 : 1
Oyonesa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)