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Varegg vs Fana

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Kalvenes N.
14' Event
Fosse-Iversen F.
24' Event
Brandtun M.

AI Match Summary

Varegg in this Division 3 - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varegg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Varegg
30%
Draws
47%
Fana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Fana have won more games recently than Varegg.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Fana taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).
  • History favors Fana here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Varegg Clean Sheet 10%
Fana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varegg Fana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 17
Draws 6 3
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.33 2.73
Goals Conceded 2.33 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Varegg vs Fana
4:2
Apr 11, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Fana vs Varegg
4:2
Oct 13, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Fana vs Varegg
3:0
Jun 23, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs Fana
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varegg Compare

Top Goalscorer Brandtun M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kalvenes N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Fana Compare

Top Goalscorer Fosse-Iversen F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Byrkjeland V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varegg 26 / 100
Fana 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varegg Fana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fana has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Varegg scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Varegg remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Varegg VS Fana
1.75 Goals Scored 3
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Varegg

(Home)
19 Sept
Gneist IL
2 : 2
Varegg
12 Sept
Varegg
2 : 0
Sogndal 2
05 Sept
Austevoll
2 : 2
Varegg
30 Aug
Varegg
1 : 2
Djerv 1919
18 Aug
Sogndal 2
3 : 1
Varegg
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Fana

(Away)
19 Sept
Forde
0 : 3
Fana
12 Sept
Fana
3 : 2
OS TF
05 Sept
Stord
3 : 5
Fana
31 Aug
Fana
2 : 2
Brann 2
22 Aug
Fana
1 : 3
Bjarg
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