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Varese U19 vs Ternana U19

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Primavera - Group B 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primavera - Group B 2013/2014 game between Varese U19 and Ternana U19 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varese U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Varese U19
30%
Draws
29%
Ternana U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varese U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ternana U19 come out ahead of Varese U19 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Varese U19's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Primavera - Group B 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Varese U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Ternana U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varese U19 Ternana U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.67
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2014 Primavera - Group B
Varese U19 vs Ternana U19
2:1
Sep 28, 2013 Primavera - Group B
Ternana U19 vs Varese U19
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varese U19 39 / 100
Ternana U19 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varese U19 Ternana U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varese U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ternana U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Varese U19 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Varese U19's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ternana U19
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Varese U19

(Home)
16 May
Varese U19
0 : 0
Torino U19
09 May
Genoa U19
4 : 0
Varese U19
02 May
Varese U19
4 : 0
Modena U19
18 Apr
Trapani U19
2 : 4
Varese U19
11 Apr
Varese U19
0 : 3
Fiorentina U19
Page 1 of 6

Ternana U19

(Away)
09 May
Ternana U19
2 : 2
Pescara U19
02 May
Spezia U19
2 : 1
Ternana U19
25 Apr
Ternana U19
1 : 4
Empoli U19
18 Apr
Cosenza U19
1 : 1
Ternana U19
11 Apr
Ternana U19
2 : 1
Benevento U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chievo U19 26 18 4 4 59:29 58
2 Atalanta U19 26 17 3 6 57:31 54
3 AC Milan U19 26 15 6 5 60:31 51
4 Inter U19 26 14 8 4 54:33 50
5 Udinese U19 26 14 5 7 47:24 47
6 Brescia U19 26 11 8 7 47:38 41
7 Padova U19 26 10 9 7 35:31 39
8 Verona U19 26 9 8 9 45:37 35
9 Cagliari U19 26 11 2 13 37:37 35
10 Varese U19 26 9 6 11 37:46 33
11 Pescara U19 26 7 6 13 36:49 27
12 Ternana U19 26 4 8 14 31:59 20
13 Lanciano U19 26 3 4 19 29:72 13
14 Cittadella U19 26 0 3 23 21:78 3
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2013/2014 (Qualification)