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Varnamo vs Sandviken

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Finnvedsvallen, Varnamo
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Varnamo host Sandviken in the Superettan. Little to choose between these two on current form. Sandviken have shipped 1.37 goals a game lately, while Varnamo have conceded 1.8 and scored 1.27. Head-to-head, Varnamo have won 1 to Sandviken's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.31, favoring Sandviken. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Varnamo
30%
Draws
31%
Sandviken
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varnamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Varnamo haven't matched Sandviken's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Varnamo's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Varnamo Clean Sheet 18%
Sandviken Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varnamo Sandviken
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.27 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Superettan
Sandviken vs Varnamo
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varnamo 36 / 100
Sandviken 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varnamo Sandviken

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varnamo found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Sandviken has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Varnamo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Varnamo VS Sandviken
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Varnamo

(Home)
19 Sept
Oddevold
1 : 2
Varnamo
15 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 3
Oster
09 Sept
Nordic United
2 : 4
Varnamo
05 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 1
Varberg
29 Aug
Ljungskile
0 : 1
Varnamo
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Sandviken

(Away)
19 Sept
Sandviken
4 : 2
Orebro
15 Sept
Brage
1 : 1
Sandviken
09 Sept
Sandviken
0 : 1
Oddevold
05 Sept
Helsingborg
0 : 2
Sandviken
30 Aug
Sandviken
1 : 1
Oster
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)