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Vasco da Gama AC vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)

Brazil Brazil

Acreano 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Daniego
(Penalty)
38' Event
Daniego
81' Event
Geovani Silva

AI Match Summary

The Acreano 2024 game between Vasco da Gama AC and Sao Francisco FC (AC) finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vasco da Gama AC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Vasco da Gama AC
6%
Draws
4%
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Vasco da Gama AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vasco da Gama AC have managed 1.38 goals a game lately — Sao Francisco FC (AC) are scoring more at 1.75.
  • Vasco da Gama AC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Acreano 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Vasco da Gama AC Clean Sheet 10%
Sao Francisco FC (AC) Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco da Gama AC Sao Francisco FC (AC)
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 Acreano
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Vasco da Gama AC
2:2
Feb 2, 2025 Acreano
Vasco da Gama AC vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)
1:0
Apr 22, 2024 Acreano
Vasco da Gama AC vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)
4:1
Mar 5, 2023 Acreano
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Vasco da Gama AC
4:1
Jul 24, 2021 Acreano
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Vasco da Gama AC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasco da Gama AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniego
1 Goals
Assists Leader Geovani Silva
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sao Francisco FC (AC) Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlinhos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco da Gama AC 83 / 100
Sao Francisco FC (AC) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco da Gama AC Sao Francisco FC (AC)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vasco da Gama AC scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Sao Francisco FC (AC) let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Sao Francisco FC (AC) lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vasco da Gama AC VS Sao Francisco FC (AC)
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco da Gama AC

(Home)
05 Mar
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
2 : 2
Vasco da Gama AC
28 Feb
Galvez
5 : 2
Vasco da Gama AC
20 Feb
Vasco da Gama AC
1 : 2
Velo Clube
10 Feb
Vasco da Gama AC
1 : 3
Independencia Futebol Clube
04 Feb
SC Humaita
0 : 0
Vasco da Gama AC
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Sao Francisco FC (AC)

(Away)
05 Mar
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
2 : 2
Vasco da Gama AC
24 Feb
SC Humaita
7 : 0
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
12 Feb
Santa Cruz AC
5 : 0
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
05 Feb
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
0 : 2
Senador Guiomard
29 Jan
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
0 : 6
Rio Branco AC
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