Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vasco da Gama AC vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)

Brazil Brazil

Acreano 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
da Silva Azeredo Brandao M.

AI Match Summary

The Acreano 2025 game between Vasco da Gama AC and Sao Francisco FC (AC) finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vasco da Gama AC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Vasco da Gama AC
6%
Draws
4%
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Vasco da Gama AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sao Francisco FC (AC)'s 1.75 goals per match outpaces what Vasco da Gama AC have produced (1.38).
  • Vasco da Gama AC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Acreano 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Vasco da Gama AC Clean Sheet 10%
Sao Francisco FC (AC) Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco da Gama AC Sao Francisco FC (AC)
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 Acreano
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Vasco da Gama AC
2:2
Feb 2, 2025 Acreano
Vasco da Gama AC vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)
1:0
Apr 22, 2024 Acreano
Vasco da Gama AC vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)
4:1
Mar 5, 2023 Acreano
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Vasco da Gama AC
4:1
Jul 24, 2021 Acreano
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Vasco da Gama AC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasco da Gama AC Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva Azeredo Brandao M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sao Francisco FC (AC) Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco da Gama AC 83 / 100
Sao Francisco FC (AC) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco da Gama AC Sao Francisco FC (AC)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco da Gama AC's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Sao Francisco FC (AC)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Difficult form: Sao Francisco FC (AC) registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vasco da Gama AC VS Sao Francisco FC (AC)
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco da Gama AC

(Home)
05 Mar
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
2 : 2
Vasco da Gama AC
28 Feb
Galvez
5 : 2
Vasco da Gama AC
20 Feb
Vasco da Gama AC
1 : 2
Velo Clube
10 Feb
Vasco da Gama AC
1 : 3
Independencia Futebol Clube
04 Feb
SC Humaita
0 : 0
Vasco da Gama AC
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Sao Francisco FC (AC)

(Away)
05 Mar
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
2 : 2
Vasco da Gama AC
24 Feb
SC Humaita
7 : 0
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
12 Feb
Santa Cruz AC
5 : 0
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
05 Feb
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
0 : 2
Senador Guiomard
29 Jan
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
0 : 6
Rio Branco AC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vasco da Gama AC752013:517
2Senador Guiomard742113:814
3Independencia Futebol Clube733112:412
4Galvez732214:911
5SC Humaita724112:810
6Rio Branco AC721413:167
7Sao Francisco FC (AC)71063:163
8Placido de Castro70258:22-1
Promotion - Acreano 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Acreano 2 (Main)