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Vasco U20 vs Cabofriense U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20
Wed, Mar 11, 2026
3 - 0
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Vasco U20 are expected to control this from the start. Cabofriense U20 have shipped 2.57 goals a game lately, while Vasco U20 have conceded 0.78 and scored 2.03. Past meetings favor Vasco U20 slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 11, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.29 vs 0.94, favoring Vasco U20. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Vasco U20
15%
Draws
27%
Cabofriense U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vasco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Vasco U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Vasco U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Vasco U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vasco U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Cabofriense U20 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco U20 Cabofriense U20
Matches Played 37 7
Wins 23 2
Draws 5 1
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 2.03 1
Goals Conceded 0.78 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Vasco U20 vs Cabofriense U20
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco U20 85 / 100
Cabofriense U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco U20 Cabofriense U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco U20's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Defensive concern: Cabofriense U20 conceded in 86% of 7 recent games.

Vasco U20 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Vasco U20 VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco U20

(Home)
03 Oct
Fluminense U20
1 : 1
Vasco U20
30 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 1
Vasco U20
26 Sept
Vasco U20
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ U20
19 Sept
Volta Redonda U20
1 : 2
Vasco U20
17 Sept
Vasco U20
11 : 0
Rio Branco ES U20
Page 1 of 8

Cabofriense U20

(Away)
04 Apr
Cabofriense U20
4 : 1
Nova Iguacu U20
28 Mar
Flamengo RJ U20
7 : 0
Cabofriense U20
25 Mar
Cabofriense U20
2 : 1
Sampaio Correa U20
21 Mar
America RJ U20
3 : 1
Cabofriense U20
18 Mar
Cabofriense U20
0 : 3
Marica U20
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense U20 7 5 2 0 17:2 17
2 Bangu U20 7 5 0 2 9:4 15
3 Botafogo RJ U20 7 4 3 0 19:3 15
4 Portuguesa RJ U20 7 3 1 3 11:9 10
5 Boavista U20 7 3 0 4 5:9 9
6 Resende U20 7 2 2 3 8:17 8
7 Olaria U20 7 1 1 5 3:13 4
8 Volta Redonda U20 7 0 1 6 5:20 1
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America RJ U20 7 6 0 1 16:8 18
2 Vasco U20 7 5 0 2 18:8 15
3 Flamengo RJ U20 7 4 0 3 21:10 12
4 Sampaio Correa U20 7 3 1 3 11:13 10
5 Madureira U20 7 3 1 3 6:10 10
6 Nova Iguacu U20 7 2 1 4 6:12 7
7 Cabofriense U20 7 2 1 4 7:18 7
8 Marica U20 7 1 0 6 5:11 3
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 (Play Offs)