Sport Picks

Vasco vs A. Italiano Prediction & H2H Stats

South America

Copa Sudamericana Sao Januário, Rio de Janeiro

Vasco

1 - 2

A. Italiano

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

35'

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Vasco

20%

Draws

33%

A. Italiano

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vasco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Vasco have won more games recently than A. Italiano.
47% — that's where the model lands on Vasco taking it.
Vasco have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor A. Italiano, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Vasco Clean Sheet 20%

A. Italiano Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vasco	A. Italiano
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	12	10
Draws	8	10
Losses	8	9
Goals Scored	1.32	1.24
Goals Conceded	1.07	1.34
Expected Goals (xG)	1.12	0.84
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

A. Italiano vs Vasco

1:2

Apr 15, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Vasco vs A. Italiano

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasco Compare

Top Goalscorer Souza da Silva B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.86

Avg xA / game 0.56

A. Italiano Compare

Top Goalscorer Fuentes M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.76

Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco 85 / 100

A. Italiano 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vasco A. Italiano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

A. Italiano has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Vasco remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vasco VS A. Italiano

1.38 Goals Scored 0.43

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.86

63% Over 1.5 14%

50% Over 2.5 14%

38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco

(Home)

19 Sept

Vasco

5 : 0

Coritiba

15 Sept

Vasco

2 : 0

Santa Fe

12 Sept

Gremio

1 : 2

Vasco

08 Sept

Santa Fe

0 : 0

Vasco

06 Sept

Fluminense

1 : 0

Vasco

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A. Italiano

(Away)

25 Sept

Colo Colo

1 : 0

A. Italiano

22 Sept

A. Italiano

0 : 0

Colo Colo

13 Sept

A. Italiano

1 : 0

O Higgins

05 Sept

D. Concepcion

0 : 1

A. Italiano

30 Aug

Colo Colo

5 : 1

A. Italiano

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