Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vatnaliljur vs Afturelding

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2015
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Jonsson K. O.
45' Event
Kamban W.
45'
Sigurdsson G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Afturelding advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vatnaliljur
15%
Draws
85%
Afturelding
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Afturelding

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Afturelding carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Afturelding a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Afturelding arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Afturelding, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Vatnaliljur Clean Sheet 10%
Afturelding Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vatnaliljur Afturelding
Matches Played 12 33
Wins 3 23
Draws 0 3
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.17 3.27
Goals Conceded 5.25 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2020 Icelandic Cup
Vatnaliljur vs Afturelding
0:12
Jun 2, 2015 Icelandic Cup
Vatnaliljur vs Afturelding
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vatnaliljur Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Afturelding Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamban W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jonsson K. O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vatnaliljur 10 / 100
Afturelding 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vatnaliljur Afturelding

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afturelding Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 7.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Vatnaliljur scored in 67% of their last 12 outings.

Afturelding has conceded goals in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Afturelding lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Afturelding
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vatnaliljur

(Home)
25 Apr
Vatnaliljur
2 : 3
IH Hafnarfjordur
06 Jun
Vatnaliljur
0 : 12
Afturelding
14 Apr
Ulfarnir
6 : 1
Vatnaliljur
12 Apr
Grotta
9 : 0
Vatnaliljur
29 Apr
Fylkir
7 : 0
Vatnaliljur
Page 1 of 3

Afturelding

(Away)
11 Sept
Afturelding
1 : 2
Breidablik
05 Sept
Njardvik
2 : 1
Afturelding
29 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Vestri
25 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Grotta
21 Aug
Aegir
0 : 7
Afturelding
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
Nokkvi 0
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Kria 2
Vidir 1
KFS 0
Alftanes 2
KFG Gardabaer 5
Hordur Isafjordur 0
Kongarnir 0
Arborg 9
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Olafsvik -
TBD -
TBD -
Haukar -
Tindastoll -
TBD -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri -
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sindri 4
Einherji 2
Hrafnkell Fr. 0
Hottur 16
Vatnaliljur 4
Midas 3
Armann 2
Berserkir 4
Skinandi 6
KFR 2
TBD -
Afturelding -
Fjardabyggd -
TBD -
Huginn 0
Leiknir Faskruds 1
Orninn 2
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Hamar 0
Kari 7
Selfoss -
TBD -
Isbjorninn 0
Reynir 9
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Grotta -
Aegir 6
Stal-Ulfur 2
SR Reykjavik 0
KV Reykjavik 3
Grindavik -
TBD -
KB Breidholt 2
Throttur Vogar 4
Magni 4
Hamrarnir 0
Fjallabyggd 0
Volsungur 2
Kopavogur -
TBD -
Snaefell 1
KH Hlidarendi 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Fylkir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Augnablik 7
Hviti 2
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Njardvik 8
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stjarnan -
Throttur -
TBD -
Gnupverjar 1
Vaengirs 3
Skallagrimur 11
Stokkseyri 0
TBD -
Bolungarvik -
Lettir 4
Ellidi 0
TBD -
IR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
1/32-finals
KA Akureyri 6
Dalvik/Reynir 0
Kria 0
Alftanes 1
KFG Gardabaer 2
Arborg 1
TBD -
Breidablik -
Olafsvik 2
Haukar 1
Tindastoll 0
Thor Akureyri 2
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Sindri 0
Hottur 1
Vatnaliljur 2
Berserkir 1
Skinandi 0
Afturelding 2
Fjardabyggd 2
Leiknir Faskruds 1
Orninn 2
Kari 4
Selfoss 2
Reynir 0
TBD -
Valur -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
Fram 2
Grotta 0
Aegir 0
KV Reykjavik 3
Grindavik 1
Throttur Vogar 0
Magni 1
Volsungur 2
Kopavogur 3
KH Hlidarendi 0
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Fylkir -
TBD -
Augnablik 1
Njardvik 4
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Stjarnan -
Throttur 3
Vaengirs 0
Skallagrimur 0
Bolungarvik 6
Lettir 1
IR Reykjavik 0
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
1/16-finals
KA Akureyri 4
Alftanes 0
KFG Gardabaer 1
Breidablik 3
Olafsvik 3
Thor Akureyri 2
Akranes 0
Fjolnir 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Hottur 0
Vatnaliljur 0
Afturelding 3
Fjardabyggd 4
Kari 0
Selfoss 0
Valur 4
KR Reykjavik 5
Keflavik 0
Fram 1
KV Reykjavik 2
Grindavik 4
Volsungur 3
Kopavogur 1
Hafnarfjordur 2
Fylkir 3
Njardvik 2
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Stjarnan 2
Throttur 4
Bolungarvik 1
Lettir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 6
1/8-finals
KA Akureyri 1
Breidablik 0
Olafsvik 0
Fjolnir 4
Vikingur Reykjavik 1
Afturelding 0
Fjardabyggd 0
Valur 4
KR Reykjavik 7
KV Reykjavik 1
Grindavik 1
Hafnarfjordur 2
Fylkir 3
Stjarnan 0
Throttur 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Quarter-finals
KA Akureyri 2
Fjolnir 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 1
Valur 2
KR Reykjavik 2
Hafnarfjordur 1
Fylkir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4
Semi-finals
KA Akureyri 1
Valur 2
KR Reykjavik 4
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
Final
Valur 2
KR Reykjavik 0