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Velarde vs CD Laredo

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Torre F.
89'
Gonzalez Cagigas V.
89'
Gonzalez Cagigas V.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 game between Velarde and CD Laredo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Laredo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Velarde
20%
Draws
51%
CD Laredo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Laredo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Laredo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans CD Laredo's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors CD Laredo here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Velarde Clean Sheet 22%
CD Laredo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velarde CD Laredo
Matches Played 29 37
Wins 3 21
Draws 9 10
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0.86 1.51
Goals Conceded 1.86 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Velarde vs CD Laredo
0:1
Oct 21, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Laredo vs Velarde
3:0
Apr 13, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Velarde vs CD Laredo
0:2
Nov 24, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Laredo vs Velarde
3:1
Feb 3, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Laredo vs Velarde
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Velarde Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

CD Laredo Compare

Top Goalscorer Torre F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velarde 21 / 100
CD Laredo 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velarde CD Laredo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Laredo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Velarde remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Velarde's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

CD Laredo let in goals in 57% of their last 37 matches.

Scoring Trends

Velarde VS CD Laredo
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Velarde

(Home)
19 Sept
Velarde
1 : 4
Vimenor
13 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Velarde
05 Sept
Velarde
0 : 0
Naval Reinosa
11 May
Velarde
0 : 3
Vimenor
05 May
Torina
0 : 0
Velarde
Page 1 of 6

CD Laredo

(Away)
20 Sept
CD Laredo
2 : 0
UM Escobedo
12 Sept
Atletico Albericia
0 : 2
CD Laredo
06 Sept
CD Laredo
1 : 2
CD Tropezon
27 Aug
CD Laredo
0 : 2
Rayo Cantabria
22 Aug
CD Laredo
1 : 0
Arenas Getxo
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UM Escobedo 34 21 5 8 58:30 68
2 CD Laredo 34 18 7 9 49:22 61
3 Torina 34 16 12 6 45:37 60
4 Atletico Albericia 34 17 7 10 54:37 58
5 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 43:32 57
6 CD Tropezon 34 15 11 8 49:38 56
7 Bezana 34 17 5 12 49:42 56
8 Castro 34 16 4 14 41:41 52
9 Guarnizo 34 13 9 12 37:31 48
10 CD Revilla 34 12 8 14 41:52 44
11 Naval Reinosa 34 9 16 9 39:37 43
12 CD Colindres 34 13 4 17 37:42 43
13 CD Siete Villas 34 11 9 14 50:48 42
14 UD Samano 34 11 8 15 40:44 41
15 Atletico Mineros 34 8 9 17 35:63 33
16 Solares 34 9 6 19 33:54 33
17 UC Cartes 34 8 7 19 32:50 31
18 Velarde 34 3 11 20 29:61 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 (Play Offs)