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Velim vs Jinocany

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Stredocesky KP 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Stredocesky KP 2025/2026 game between Velim and Jinocany finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Velim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Velim
15%
Draws
28%
Jinocany
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Velim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Velim carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Velim a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 60%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Velim Clean Sheet 20%
Jinocany Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velim Jinocany
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 20 5
Draws 3 4
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 2.59 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.60 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Stredocesky KP
Jinocany vs Velim
1:5
Oct 18, 2025 Stredocesky KP
Velim vs Jinocany
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velim 85 / 100
Jinocany 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velim Jinocany

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Velim Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Velim scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

Jinocany has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Jinocany has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Velim VS Jinocany
3.5 Goals Scored 0.86
0.75 Goals Conceded 3.71
100% Over 1.5 86%
88% Over 2.5 86%
63% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Velim

(Home)
19 Sept
SK Doksy
2 : 4
Velim
12 Sept
Velim
0 : 2
Cesky Brod
04 Sept
Vestec
2 : 1
Velim
29 Aug
Velim
2 : 3
Nespeky
22 Aug
Dobrovice
2 : 5
Velim
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Jinocany

(Away)
13 Jun
Jinocany
2 : 3
Tuchomerice
06 Jun
SK Doksy
1 : 2
Jinocany
30 May
Jinocany
0 : 9
Poricany
23 May
Porici nad Sazavou
3 : 0
Jinocany
16 May
Jinocany
1 : 5
Velim
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