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Venda vs Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila

South Africa South Africa

Motsepe Foundation Championship 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Mariba K.
82' Event
Sarr I.
90' Event
Mutsivhuli R.

AI Match Summary

The Motsepe Foundation Championship 2022/2023 game between Venda and Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Venda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Venda
11%
Draws
9%
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Venda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Venda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Venda taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Motsepe Foundation Championship 2022/2023 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Venda have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Venda Clean Sheet 68%
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venda Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila
Matches Played 47 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 12 5
Losses 22 20
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 1 4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2023 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Venda vs Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila
2:1
Sep 17, 2022 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila vs Venda
2:0
Mar 19, 2022 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila vs Venda
1:3
Aug 28, 2021 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Venda vs Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Venda Compare

Top Goalscorer Mariba K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mutsivhuli R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarr I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venda 86 / 100
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venda Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Venda found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (47 games).

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Venda VS Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 4
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Venda

(Home)
25 Jul
Magesi
1 : 0
Venda
17 May
Venda
1 : 2
Highbury
10 May
Black Leopards
2 : 1
Venda
03 May
Venda
2 : 0
Leicesterford City
26 Apr
Midlands Wanderers
1 : 0
Venda
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Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila

(Away)
07 Feb
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila
1 : 4
Orlando Pirates
14 May
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila
0 : 1
Baroka
07 May
Pretoria U.
2 : 0
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila
29 Apr
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila
1 : 2
Hungry Lions
23 Apr
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila
2 : 0
Magesi
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Polokwane City30176744:2457
2Cape Town Spurs30176742:2757
3Casric Stars301511437:2556
4Cape Town All Stars301212637:2548
5Hungry Lions30138930:2847
6JDR Stars30129940:2545
7Uthongathi301011933:3041
8Pretoria U.30913832:3140
9Baroka301161337:3739
10Pretoria Callies301091127:2939
11Venda301081226:3338
12Magesi301071322:3237
13NB La Masia30881433:3932
14Platinum City30791421:3730
15Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila30651925:4623
16Black Leopards304101621:3922
Promotion - Premier League 2022/2023 (Main)
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