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Venus vs CA Vila Rica

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Paraense A3 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paraense A3 2025 game between Venus and CA Vila Rica finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Venus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Venus
30%
Draws
16%
CA Vila Rica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Venus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • CA Vila Rica haven't matched Venus's recent run of results.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Venus taking it.
  • Regular Paraense A3 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Venus Clean Sheet 20%
CA Vila Rica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venus CA Vila Rica
Matches Played 13 11
Wins 5 0
Draws 2 3
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.31 0.45
Goals Conceded 1.54 2.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Paraense A3
Venus vs CA Vila Rica
3:0
Oct 4, 2025 Paraense A3
CA Vila Rica vs Venus
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venus 85 / 100
CA Vila Rica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venus CA Vila Rica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Venus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Vila Rica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 11 matches.

Venus's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 13 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Venus went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Venus VS CA Vila Rica
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Venus

(Home)
19 Sept
Pedreira
1 : 2
Venus
16 Sept
Venus
5 : 2
ESMAC
11 Sept
Venus
0 : 1
Pedreira
05 Sept
ESMAC
1 : 1
Venus
04 Nov
Belenense
3 : 1
Venus
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CA Vila Rica

(Away)
20 Sept
CA Vila Rica
2 : 2
Belenense
13 Sept
CA Vila Rica
0 : 1
Sport Belem
11 Sept
Belenense
8 : 0
CA Vila Rica
18 Oct
Venus
3 : 0
CA Vila Rica
15 Oct
CA Vila Rica
1 : 1
Santos PA
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belenense 4 3 0 1 6:3 9
2 Paraense SC 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
3 Pedreira 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos PA 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
2 Venus 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 CA Vila Rica 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Belem 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 Tesla 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
3 Tiradentes PA 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paraense 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
2 Gaviao 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
3 Altamira 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)