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Veranopolis vs EC Cruzeiro Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Choco
48' Event
Alfredo
68' Event
Rafael Mineiro

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 2024 game between Veranopolis and EC Cruzeiro finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Veranopolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Veranopolis
20%
Draws
44%
EC Cruzeiro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: EC Cruzeiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Veranopolis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Veranopolis's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Veranopolis here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Veranopolis Clean Sheet 20%
EC Cruzeiro Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Veranopolis EC Cruzeiro
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 4
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.16 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2024 Gaucho 2
EC Cruzeiro vs Veranopolis
0:1
Apr 28, 2024 Gaucho 2
Veranopolis vs EC Cruzeiro
3:1
May 14, 2022 Gaucho 2
EC Cruzeiro vs Veranopolis
0:1
May 8, 2022 Gaucho 2
Veranopolis vs EC Cruzeiro
3:1
Sep 9, 2021 Gaucho 2
Veranopolis vs EC Cruzeiro
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Veranopolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Alfredo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rafael Mineiro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

EC Cruzeiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Choco
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Veranopolis 49 / 100
EC Cruzeiro 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Veranopolis EC Cruzeiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Veranopolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Cruzeiro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Veranopolis stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: EC Cruzeiro registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Veranopolis VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Veranopolis

(Home)
03 Oct
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
2 : 0
Veranopolis
27 Sept
Veranopolis
0 : 0
Passo Fundo
23 Sept
Lajeadense
0 : 1
Veranopolis
19 Sept
Veranopolis
0 : 1
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
16 Sept
Veranopolis
0 : 0
GE Bage
Page 1 of 7

EC Cruzeiro

(Away)
10 Jul
EC Cruzeiro
0 : 2
Passo Fundo
07 Jul
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
1 : 2
EC Cruzeiro
03 Jul
Brasil de Farroupilha
1 : 3
EC Cruzeiro
29 Jun
EC Cruzeiro
0 : 1
Veranopolis
23 Jun
GE Gloria
3 : 0
EC Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GE Gloria 14 9 2 3 17:7 29
2 Passo Fundo 14 8 3 3 21:13 27
3 Veranopolis 14 7 2 5 19:13 23
4 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 14 6 5 3 15:14 23
5 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 14 4 3 7 17:17 15
6 SC Gaucho 14 4 3 7 15:15 15
7 Brasil de Farroupilha 14 5 0 9 11:24 15
8 EC Cruzeiro 14 3 2 9 11:23 11
Promotion - Gaucho 2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monsoon 14 8 4 2 20:10 28
2 Inter Santa Maria 14 8 3 3 26:12 27
3 Lajeadense 14 6 6 2 13:7 24
4 Pelotas 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
5 Aimore 14 6 3 5 20:13 21
6 GE Bage 14 6 2 6 14:14 20
7 Futvida 14 2 2 10 8:24 8
8 Sao Gabriel 14 1 2 11 7:34 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2025 (Main)