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Verbania vs Lucchese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2019/2020
Sun, Mar 22, 2020
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Verbania host Lucchese in the Serie D - Group A 2019/2020. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Verbania have averaged 0.85 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against Lucchese's 1.47 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Verbania have won 0 to Lucchese's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.29 xG vs 1.36) point toward Lucchese. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Verbania
15%
Draws
65%
Lucchese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lucchese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Lucchese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Verbania Clean Sheet 18%
Lucchese Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verbania Lucchese
Matches Played 20 32
Wins 4 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 0.85 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2020 Serie D - Group A
Verbania vs Lucchese
0:0
Nov 10, 2019 Serie D - Group A
Lucchese vs Verbania
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verbania 32 / 100
Lucchese 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verbania Lucchese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucchese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Verbania scored in 55% of their last 20 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Verbania went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lucchese
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Verbania

(Home)
16 Feb
Verbania
1 : 0
Fezzanese
09 Feb
Verbania
0 : 3
Seravezza Pozzi
02 Feb
AC Chieri
2 : 0
Verbania
26 Jan
Verbania
2 : 3
Fossano
19 Jan
Prato
5 : 0
Verbania
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Lucchese

(Away)
20 Sept
Rondinella
0 : 0
Lucchese
16 Sept
Lucchese
5 : 0
SCD Progresso
12 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
5 : 0
Lucchese
06 Sept
Lucchese
2 : 1
Montevarchi
17 May
Lucchese
1 : 0
Sestri Levante
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