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Verden vs TuS Bersenbruck

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niedersachsen 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Verden play TuS Bersenbruck in the Oberliga Niedersachsen 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Verden averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. TuS Bersenbruck averaged 2.11 goals scored and 2.26 conceded. In past meetings, Verden won 2, TuS Bersenbruck won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 19, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.38 for Verden and 1.38 for TuS Bersenbruck. This points to a TuS Bersenbruck double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Verden
23%
Draws
39%
TuS Bersenbruck
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: TuS Bersenbruck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Verden picked up more points recently compared to TuS Bersenbruck.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.38 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Verden Clean Sheet 17%
TuS Bersenbruck Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verden TuS Bersenbruck
Matches Played 24 27
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.63 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.54 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Verden vs TuS Bersenbruck
4:0
Oct 18, 2025 Oberliga Niedersachsen
TuS Bersenbruck vs Verden
3:2
Mar 2, 2025 Oberliga Niedersachsen
TuS Bersenbruck vs Verden
2:0
Sep 1, 2024 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Verden vs TuS Bersenbruck
6:1
Jan 30, 2022 Club Friendly
TuS Bersenbruck vs Verden
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verden 38 / 100
TuS Bersenbruck 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verden TuS Bersenbruck

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: TuS Bersenbruck or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Verden attacking → ← attacking TuS Bersenbruck

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Verden scored in 71% of their last 24 games.

TuS Bersenbruck let in goals in 93% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Verden went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

TuS Bersenbruck lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 36
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Delmenhorst30206469:2966
2Egestorf-Langreder30185763:3659
3Heeslinger SC30174972:4755
4Hildesheim301611353:5549
5SV Wilhelmshaven301461047:3848
6Luneburger Hansa301212646:4348
7Spelle-Venhaus301210861:4746
8Meppen II301281045:4044
9TuS Bersenbruck301191066:6742
10BSV Rehden301261248:4942
11Verden301151450:4938
12Braunschweig U23301151454:5738
13MTV Wolfenbuttel301151459:6738
14Wetschen30691553:6527
15Lupo-Martini Wolfsburg30362127:7115
16Holthausen-Biene30352240:9314