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Vereya vs Borislav Parvomay

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2022/2023 Trace Arena, Stara Zagora
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AI Match Summary

Vereya in this Third League - South-East 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vereya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Vereya
15%
Draws
12%
Borislav Parvomay
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vereya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

12% / Low Confidence
  • Borislav Parvomay have won more games recently than Vereya.
  • Model gives Borislav Parvomay a 12% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Borislav Parvomay have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Vereya Clean Sheet 10%
Borislav Parvomay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vereya Borislav Parvomay
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 4
Draws 0 5
Losses 28 21
Goals Scored 0.73 0.93
Goals Conceded 4.2 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2023 Third League - South-East
Vereya vs Borislav Parvomay
4:3
Nov 5, 2022 Third League - South-East
Borislav Parvomay vs Vereya
4:2
Feb 20, 2021 Third League - South-East
Borislav Parvomay vs Vereya
4:1
Aug 8, 2020 Third League - South-East
Vereya vs Borislav Parvomay
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vereya 14 / 100
Borislav Parvomay 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vereya Borislav Parvomay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Borislav Parvomay Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Borislav Parvomay conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Borislav Parvomay has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Vereya scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Vereya VS Borislav Parvomay
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
4.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vereya

(Home)
03 Jun
Yambol 1915
6 : 0
Vereya
27 May
Vereya
2 : 4
Atletik Kuklen
20 May
Lok. Plovdiv II
0 : 1
Vereya
13 May
Vereya
4 : 3
Borislav Parvomay
10 May
Rodopa Smolyan
3 : 0
Vereya
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Borislav Parvomay

(Away)
31 May
Borislav Parvomay
0 : 4
Zagorets
27 May
Karnobat
3 : 3
Borislav Parvomay
20 May
Borislav Parvomay
0 : 1
Rozova Dolina
13 May
Vereya
4 : 3
Borislav Parvomay
10 May
Borislav Parvomay
0 : 1
Atletik Kuklen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 38 26 5 7 84:32 83
2 Chernomorets 1919 38 24 8 6 82:26 80
3 Gigant Saedinenie 38 23 9 6 69:28 78
4 Zagorets 38 22 10 6 64:19 76
5 OFC Haskovo 38 20 9 9 68:36 69
6 Rozova Dolina 38 20 8 10 66:29 68
7 Spartak Plovdiv 38 19 8 11 73:43 65
8 Asenovets 38 19 7 12 69:41 64
9 Lok. Plovdiv II 38 20 4 14 57:33 64
10 Yambol 1915 38 16 9 13 57:48 57
11 Rodopa Smolyan 38 16 7 15 51:48 55
12 Dimitrovgrad 38 16 4 18 52:54 52
13 Sokol Markovo 38 15 3 20 54:58 48
14 Levski Karlovo 38 12 6 20 45:69 42
15 Karnobat 38 11 8 19 37:57 41
16 Beroe II 38 11 4 23 45:74 37
17 Atletik Kuklen 38 11 3 24 37:83 36
18 Sliven 38 10 6 22 58:93 36
19 Borislav Parvomay 38 5 6 27 34:92 21
20 Vereya 38 2 0 36 24:163 6
Promotion - Vtora liga 2023/2024 (Main)