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Vereya vs Borislav Parvomay

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2022/2023 Trace Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vereya in this Third League - South-East 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vereya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Vereya
17%
Draws
70%
Borislav Parvomay
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Borislav Parvomay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Borislav Parvomay have won more games recently than Vereya.
  • Model gives Borislav Parvomay a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Borislav Parvomay have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Vereya Clean Sheet 10%
Borislav Parvomay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vereya Borislav Parvomay
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 4
Draws 0 5
Losses 28 21
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 4.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2023 Third League - South-East
Vereya vs Borislav Parvomay
4:3
Nov 5, 2022 Third League - South-East
Borislav Parvomay vs Vereya
4:2
Feb 20, 2021 Third League - South-East
Borislav Parvomay vs Vereya
4:1
Aug 8, 2020 Third League - South-East
Vereya vs Borislav Parvomay
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vereya 14 / 100
Borislav Parvomay 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vereya Borislav Parvomay

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Borislav Parvomay conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Borislav Parvomay has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Vereya scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Vereya VS Borislav Parvomay
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
4.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nesebar38265784:3283
2Chernomorets 191938248682:2680
3Gigant Saedinenie38239669:2878
4Zagorets382210664:1976
5OFC Haskovo38209968:3669
6Rozova Dolina382081066:2968
7Spartak Plovdiv381981173:4365
8Asenovets381971269:4164
9Lok. Plovdiv II382041457:3364
10Yambol 1915381691357:4857
11Rodopa Smolyan381671551:4855
12Dimitrovgrad381641852:5452
13Sokol Markovo381532054:5848
14Levski Karlovo381262045:6942
15Karnobat381181937:5741
16Beroe II381142345:7437
17Atletik Kuklen381132437:8336
18Sliven381062258:9336
19Borislav Parvomay38562734:9221
20Vereya38203624:1636