Sport Picks
VfB Oldenburg vs Phonix Lubeck
Germany
Regionalliga North 2025/2026 Marschweg-Stadion, Oldenburg 
Match Events
34'
34'
Brand R.
48'
48'
Facklam M.
62'
62'
Facklam M.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
VfB Oldenburg in this Regionalliga North 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored VfB Oldenburg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Phonix Lubeck
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Phonix Lubeck haven't matched VfB Oldenburg's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Phonix Lubeck's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
VfB Oldenburg Clean Sheet 11%
Phonix Lubeck Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | VfB Oldenburg | Phonix Lubeck |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 18 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.76 | 2.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Regionalliga North
Phonix Lubeck vs VfB Oldenburg
0:0
Mar 27, 2026 Regionalliga North
VfB Oldenburg vs Phonix Lubeck
3:1
Sep 27, 2025 Regionalliga North
Phonix Lubeck vs VfB Oldenburg
1:2
Nov 23, 2024 Regionalliga North
VfB Oldenburg vs Phonix Lubeck
2:2
Aug 10, 2024 Regionalliga North
Phonix Lubeck vs VfB Oldenburg
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
VfB Oldenburg Compare
Top Goalscorer Brand R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Facklam M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Phonix Lubeck Compare
Top Goalscorer Inaka A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
VfB Oldenburg 10 / 100
Phonix Lubeck 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
VfB Oldenburg Phonix Lubeck
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Phonix Lubeck Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: VfB Oldenburg scored in 97% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Phonix Lubeck conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: VfB Oldenburg remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
VfB Oldenburg VS Phonix Lubeck
3.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
VfB Oldenburg
(Home) 19 Sept
VfB Oldenburg
1 : 3 Jeddeloh
16 Sept
Bremer
0 : 4 VfB Oldenburg
11 Sept
VfB Oldenburg
4 : 3 Hannover II
06 Sept
Schoningen
1 : 0 VfB Oldenburg
29 Aug
VfB Oldenburg
7 : 3 Eimsbutteler
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
VfB Oldenburg
1 : 3 Jeddeloh
11 Sept
VfB Oldenburg
4 : 3 Hannover II
29 Aug
VfB Oldenburg
7 : 3 Eimsbutteler
15 Aug
VfB Oldenburg
4 : 1 Eintracht Norderstedt
07 Aug
VfB Oldenburg
3 : 1 Drochtersen / Assel
Page 1 of 3
Phonix Lubeck
(Away) 19 Sept
Weiche Flensburg 08
1 : 2 Phonix Lubeck
16 Sept
Phonix Lubeck
9 : 0 Todesfelde
12 Sept
Eimsbutteler
1 : 3 Phonix Lubeck
06 Sept
Werder Bremen II
0 : 2 Phonix Lubeck
02 Sept
Hannoverscher SC
0 : 3 Phonix Lubeck
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Weiche Flensburg 08
1 : 2 Phonix Lubeck
12 Sept
Eimsbutteler
1 : 3 Phonix Lubeck
06 Sept
Werder Bremen II
0 : 2 Phonix Lubeck
02 Sept
Hannoverscher SC
0 : 3 Phonix Lubeck
30 Aug
St. Pauli II
2 : 2 Phonix Lubeck
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Meppen | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 103:35 | 83 |
| 2 | Drochtersen / Assel | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 83:48 | 70 |
| 3 | VfB Oldenburg | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 87:45 | 69 |
| 4 | Jeddeloh | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 81:50 | 64 |
| 5 | Phonix Lubeck | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 53:43 | 56 |
| 6 | Hannover II | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 63:49 | 53 |
| 7 | Bremer | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 52:41 | 52 |
| 8 | Emden | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 64:54 | 51 |
| 9 | Weiche Flensburg 08 | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 69:63 | 49 |
| 10 | Hamburger II | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 57:50 | 47 |
| 11 | Lubeck | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 54:61 | 45 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen II | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 57:71 | 40 |
| 13 | Hannoverscher SC | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 49:84 | 37 |
| 14 | Schoningen | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 56:84 | 34 |
| 15 | Eintracht Norderstedt | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 51:79 | 30 |
| 16 | St. Pauli II | 34 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 38:72 | 25 |
| 17 | Lohne | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 38:78 | 23 |
| 18 | Altona | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 44:92 | 23 |
Promotion - 3. Liga (Main)
