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VfB Stuttgart W vs Mainz W

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Kats V.
32'
Ruckert R.
46'
Sub
Ruckert R. In: Redzepi D.
Out: Ruckert R.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 game between VfB Stuttgart W and Mainz W finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mainz W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
VfB Stuttgart W
15%
Draws
0%
Mainz W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VfB Stuttgart W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and VfB Stuttgart W come out ahead of Mainz W on wins alone.
  • VfB Stuttgart W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 2. Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
VfB Stuttgart W Clean Sheet 20%
Mainz W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfB Stuttgart W Mainz W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.75 2.36
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Mainz W vs VfB Stuttgart W
1:2
Mar 21, 2026 2. Bundesliga Women
VfB Stuttgart W vs Mainz W
2:4
Oct 12, 2025 2. Bundesliga Women
Mainz W vs VfB Stuttgart W
4:5
Aug 17, 2025 DFB Pokal Women
VfB Stuttgart W vs Mainz W
0:2
Aug 18, 2024 DFB Pokal Women
VfB Stuttgart W vs Mainz W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VfB Stuttgart W Compare

Top Goalscorer Redzepi D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schetter L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Mainz W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kats V.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Berg J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfB Stuttgart W 85 / 100
Mainz W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfB Stuttgart W Mainz W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VfB Stuttgart W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VfB Stuttgart W scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Mainz W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Mainz W conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

VfB Stuttgart W VS Mainz W
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

VfB Stuttgart W

(Home)
13 Sept
VfB Stuttgart W
0 : 2
Wolfsburg W
06 Sept
1.FC Nurnberg W
3 : 3
VfB Stuttgart W
29 Aug
VfB Stuttgart W
2 : 1
Hamburger W
23 Aug
Hoffenheim W
1 : 2
VfB Stuttgart W
14 Aug
Freiburg W
1 : 0
VfB Stuttgart W
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Mainz W

(Away)
18 Sept
Mainz W
2 : 3
Eintracht Frankfurt W
13 Sept
Freiburg W
3 : 0
Mainz W
05 Sept
Mainz W
0 : 4
Koln W
31 Aug
Bayern Munich W
2 : 0
Mainz W
24 Aug
Mainz W
1 : 2
Werder Bremen W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VfB Stuttgart W 26 17 7 2 81:33 58
2 Mainz W 26 17 4 5 77:29 55
3 SC Sand W 26 16 5 5 53:26 53
4 Meppen W 26 15 4 7 56:26 49
5 Viktoria Berlin W 26 12 9 5 41:20 45
6 Andernach W 26 10 8 8 46:44 38
7 Ingolstadt W 26 12 2 12 45:48 38
8 Eintracht Frankfurt II W 26 9 6 11 38:38 33
9 Bochum W 26 9 5 12 33:40 32
10 B. Monchengladbach W 26 9 4 13 39:53 31
11 Potsdam W 26 9 3 14 37:50 30
12 Bayern Munich II W 26 8 3 15 40:64 27
13 Wolfsburg II W 26 6 1 19 38:75 19
14 VfR Warbeyen W 26 1 3 22 21:99 6
Promotion - Bundesliga Women (Main)