Sport Picks

Stadium Background

VfL Osnabruck vs Energie Cottbus

Germany Germany

3. Liga 2025/2026 Stadion an der Bremer Brück, Osnabrück
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Sub
Kehl L. In: Badjie I.
Out: Kehl L.
28'
Karademir Y.
46'
Sub
Butler J. In: Hannemann M.
Out: Butler J.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Liga 2025/2026 game between VfL Osnabruck and Energie Cottbus finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward VfL Osnabruck.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
VfL Osnabruck
6%
Draws
4%
Energie Cottbus
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: VfL Osnabruck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Energie Cottbus haven't matched VfL Osnabruck's recent run of results.
  • VfL Osnabruck are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors VfL Osnabruck here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
VfL Osnabruck Clean Sheet 19%
Energie Cottbus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfL Osnabruck Energie Cottbus
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 18 12
Draws 4 9
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 2.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 3. Liga
VfL Osnabruck vs Energie Cottbus
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 3. Liga
Energie Cottbus vs VfL Osnabruck
0:1
Mar 1, 2025 3. Liga
Energie Cottbus vs VfL Osnabruck
1:2
Sep 24, 2024 3. Liga
VfL Osnabruck vs Energie Cottbus
2:5
Apr 27, 2019 3. Liga
Energie Cottbus vs VfL Osnabruck
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VfL Osnabruck Compare

Top Goalscorer Badjie I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Energie Cottbus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfL Osnabruck 85 / 100
Energie Cottbus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfL Osnabruck Energie Cottbus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OSN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VfL Osnabruck scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Energie Cottbus conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

VfL Osnabruck went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VfL Osnabruck VS Energie Cottbus
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

VfL Osnabruck

(Home)
24 Jul
SV Vorwarts Nordhorn
0 : 7
VfL Osnabruck
12 Jul
Jablonec
1 : 0
VfL Osnabruck
16 May
VfB Stuttgart II
3 : 4
VfL Osnabruck
09 May
VfL Osnabruck
1 : 1
Ulm
03 May
Wehen
2 : 3
VfL Osnabruck
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Energie Cottbus

(Away)
25 Jul
Dresden
2 : 1
Energie Cottbus
25 Jul
Dresden
1 : 2
Energie Cottbus
18 Jul
Energie Cottbus
0 : 5
Salzburg
15 Jul
Energie Cottbus
2 : 4
Mlada Boleslav
04 Jul
Energie Cottbus
3 : 1
Hertha Berlin II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1VfL Osnabruck38248666:3480
2Energie Cottbus38219872:5172
3RW Essen382010878:6670
4Duisburg381911866:4968
5Hansa Rostock381813774:4967
6Verl3818101082:4864
7Alemannia Aachen381971276:5764
8Munich 18603815111254:5356
9Wehen381581554:5253
10Mannheim381571659:7252
11FC Viktoria Koln381561751:5351
12Ingolstadt3813101565:5649
13Regensburg381471754:5849
14VfB Stuttgart II381371857:6946
15Saarbrucken3810141451:5744
16Hoffenheim II381271965:7143
17TSV Havelse38982157:8935
18Aue387131851:7034
19Ulm38962349:7833
201. FC Schweinfurt38562738:8721
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)