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Vibonese vs Nissa Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 Stadio Luigi Razza, Vibo Valentia
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
De Felice F.

AI Match Summary

Nissa in this Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nissa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Vibonese
30%
Draws
23%
Nissa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vibonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Vibonese haven't matched Nissa's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Vibonese a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Vibonese Clean Sheet 68%
Nissa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vibonese Nissa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.14 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Nissa vs Vibonese
0:2
Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Nissa
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Nissa vs Vibonese
1:1
Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Nissa
4:0
Sep 8, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Nissa vs Vibonese
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vibonese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Nissa Compare

Top Goalscorer De Felice F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vibonese 95 / 100
Nissa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vibonese Nissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vibonese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vibonese's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Vibonese stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Nissa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vibonese VS Nissa
2 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vibonese

(Home)
04 Oct
Vibonese
2 : 0
Digiesse PraiaTortora
27 Sept
Nissa
0 : 2
Vibonese
20 Sept
Vibonese
3 : 0
Athletic Palermo
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3
Vibonese
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
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Nissa

(Away)
04 Oct
Igea Virtus
1 : 1
Nissa
27 Sept
Nissa
0 : 2
Vibonese
20 Sept
Calcio Avola
4 : 2
Nissa
16 Sept
Nissa
2 : 0
Trapani
13 Sept
Licata
1 : 1
Nissa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)