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Vibonese vs Nissa

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 Stadio Luigi Razza, Vibo Valentia
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
De Felice F.

AI Match Summary

Nissa in this Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nissa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Vibonese
30%
Draws
37%
Nissa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Vibonese haven't matched Nissa's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Nissa a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Vibonese Clean Sheet 14%
Nissa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vibonese Nissa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 18
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 0.93 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Nissa
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Nissa vs Vibonese
1:1
Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Nissa
4:0
Sep 8, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Nissa vs Vibonese
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vibonese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Nissa Compare

Top Goalscorer De Felice F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vibonese 11 / 100
Nissa 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vibonese Nissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nissa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vibonese's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Vibonese stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Nissa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vibonese VS Nissa
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vibonese

(Home)
03 Aug
Monopoli
0 : 1
Vibonese
10 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
03 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
26 Apr
Gela
1 : 1
Vibonese
22 Apr
Igea Virtus
2 : 1
Vibonese
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Nissa

(Away)
17 May
Nissa
0 : 0
Reggina
10 May
Nissa
4 : 0
Gelbison
03 May
Nissa
4 : 1
Paterno
26 Apr
Sambiase
1 : 1
Nissa
19 Apr
Nissa
3 : 0
Enna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)