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Viborg W vs Naestved HG W

Denmark Denmark

B-Liga Women Energi Viborg Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Viborg W play Naestved HG W in the B-Liga Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Viborg W averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Naestved HG W averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Viborg W won 0, Naestved HG W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Viborg W and 1.19 for Naestved HG W. This points to a Naestved HG W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Viborg W
15%
Draws
45%
Naestved HG W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Naestved HG W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Viborg W picked up more points recently compared to Naestved HG W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Viborg W Clean Sheet 20%
Naestved HG W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viborg W Naestved HG W
Matches Played 10 30
Wins 4 13
Draws 1 3
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.7 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 B-Liga Women
Viborg W vs Naestved HG W
0:1
Mar 21, 2026 B-Liga Women
Naestved HG W vs Viborg W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Viborg W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Naestved HG W Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viborg W 40 / 100
Naestved HG W 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viborg W Naestved HG W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Naestved HG W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Viborg W attacking → ← attacking Naestved HG W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Viborg W scored in 80% of their last 10 games.

Naestved HG W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Viborg W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Naestved HG W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

13 Points in last 5 42
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sundby W1081126:1425
2B93 W1053214:818
3Naestved HG W1052322:1617
4Viborg W1041517:1613
5Aalborg W1022613:278
6Esbjerg W1003713:243