Sport Picks
Match Events
15'
15'
Palamar R.
Penalty Missed
46'
46'
Sub
Palamar R. In: Sharay S.
Out: Palamar R.
51'
51'
Melenchuk A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-1, with Inhulets advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Victoria carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Victoria taking it.
- Victoria have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Inhulets, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Inhulets have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Victoria Clean Sheet 68%
Inhulets Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Victoria | Inhulets |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Persha Liga
Victoria vs Inhulets
2:2
Oct 29, 2025 Ukrainian Cup
Victoria vs Inhulets
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Persha Liga
Inhulets vs Victoria
4:2
Nov 19, 2023 Persha Liga
Victoria vs Inhulets
0:1
Sep 16, 2023 Persha Liga
Inhulets vs Victoria
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Victoria Compare
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Inhulets Compare
Top Goalscorer Melenchuk A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Victoria 50 / 100
Inhulets 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Victoria Inhulets
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Victoria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Victoria found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Inhulets has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Victoria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Victoria VS Inhulets
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Victoria
(Home) 14 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 0 Victoria
09 Sept
Victoria
0 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
05 Sept
Victoria
1 : 1 Zhytomyr 2
30 Aug
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 3 Victoria
21 Aug
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 3 Victoria
Page 1 of 6
09 Sept
Victoria
0 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
05 Sept
Victoria
1 : 1 Zhytomyr 2
15 Aug
Victoria
2 : 1 Kulikiv
02 Aug
Victoria
2 : 0 Kolos Kovalivka 2
23 May
Victoria
0 : 1 Probiy Horodenka
Page 1 of 3
Inhulets
(Away) 12 Sept
Inhulets
1 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
04 Sept
SC Poltava
0 : 0 Inhulets
29 Aug
UCSA
1 : 2 Inhulets
22 Aug
Inhulets
1 : 4 Veres Rivne
16 Aug
Inhulets
1 : 2 Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
SC Poltava
0 : 0 Inhulets
29 Aug
UCSA
1 : 2 Inhulets
08 Aug
Oleksandriya
3 : 0 Inhulets
26 Jul
Probiy Horodenka
2 : 2 Inhulets
10 Jul
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0 Inhulets
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka 3
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 2
Dinaz Vyshgorod 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3
Kolos Polonne 1
Naftovyk Dolyna 0
FC Kharkiv 2
Obolon 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv 3
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Korosten 0
Veres Rivne 4
Nyva Vinnytsya 3
UCSA 0
Hirnyk-Sport 1
Trostyanets 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Atlet Kiev 0
Kulikiv 0
Kryvbas 3
FC Vilkhivtsi 1
Olympia Savyntsi 2
Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka 0
Lisne 4
Epitsentr 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Ch. Odesa 2
Zorya 1
Fazenda 0
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
FC Uzhhorod 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
Metalist Kharkiv 2
Mayak Sarny 0
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Probiy Horodenka 0
Kormil Yavoriv 1
Rukh Lviv 2
TBD -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Lozova 0
Bukovyna 3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 0
Karpaty Lviv 8
Real Pharma Odesa 0
Nyva Ternopil 3
Iron 1
SC Poltava 5
Oleksandriya -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv -
Polissya Stavky 3
Rebel Kyiv 0
TBD -
Shakhtar -
Livyi Bereg 1
Kudrivka 0
Victoria 1
Vorskla Poltava 0
Karbon Cherkasy 1
Inhulets 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
Skala 1911 0
1/16-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 2
Kolos Polonne 1
FC Kharkiv 4
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Veres Rivne 0
Nyva Vinnytsya 7
Hirnyk-Sport 0
FC Chernihiv 3
Kryvbas 0
Olympia Savyntsi 1
Lisne 2
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Ch. Odesa 1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
Metalist Kharkiv 0
LNZ Cherkasy 2
Rukh Lviv 3
Polissya Zhytomyr 0
Bukovyna 1
Karpaty Lviv 0
Nyva Ternopil 3
SC Poltava 0
Oleksandriya 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Polissya Stavky 0
Shakhtar 1
Livyi Bereg 0
Victoria 1
Inhulets 4
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
1/8-finals
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3
FC Kharkiv 4
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Nyva Vinnytsya 0
FC Chernihiv 2
Lisne 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Rukh Lviv 0
Bukovyna 2
Nyva Ternopil 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Shakhtar 1
Victoria 0
Inhulets 1
Quarter-finals
FC Kharkiv 3
Lokomotyv Kyiv 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Fenix Mariupol 0
LNZ Cherkasy 0
Bukovyna 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Inhulets 0
Semi-finals
FC Kharkiv 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Bukovyna 0
Dynamo Kyiv 3
Final
FC Chernihiv 1
Dynamo Kyiv 3
