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Vidir vs Aegir

Iceland Iceland

Division 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Mani Jonsson M.
51' Event
Joninuson B.
55' Event
Toro Jimenez D.

AI Match Summary

Aegir in this Division 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aegir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Vidir
20%
Draws
16%
Aegir
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vidir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Vidir average 1.6 goals a game right now, well clear of Aegir's 1.51.
  • Win probability leans Vidir's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Vidir Clean Sheet 19%
Aegir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vidir Aegir
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 3
Losses 15 24
Goals Scored 1.6 1.51
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2025 Division 2
Vidir vs Aegir
2:3
Jul 4, 2025 Division 2
Aegir vs Vidir
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vidir Compare

Top Goalscorer Mani Jonsson M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toro Jimenez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Aegir Compare

Top Goalscorer Joninuson B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adeyemo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vidir 85 / 100
Aegir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vidir Aegir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vidir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vidir scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Aegir conceded in 86% of 37 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Aegir has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aegir
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vidir

(Home)
01 Apr
Fjolnir
2 : 1
Vidir
19 Mar
KFG Gardabaer
2 : 3
Vidir
13 Sept
Vidir
2 : 3
Aegir
06 Sept
KFA
2 : 0
Vidir
30 Aug
Vidir
2 : 2
KFG Gardabaer
Page 1 of 6

Aegir

(Away)
05 Sept
Aegir
1 : 1
Grindavik
28 Aug
Throttur
7 : 2
Aegir
21 Aug
Aegir
0 : 7
Afturelding
17 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
6 : 1
Aegir
13 Aug
Aegir
0 : 2
Volsungur
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aegir 22 14 2 6 60:35 44
2 Grotta 22 13 5 4 47:25 44
3 Throttur Vogar 22 13 3 6 32:24 42
4 Kormakur/Hvot 22 11 2 9 35:37 35
5 Dalvik/Reynir 22 10 4 8 38:26 34
6 KFA 22 9 5 8 53:45 32
7 Haukar 22 9 4 9 36:40 31
8 Olafsvik 22 8 4 10 42:40 28
9 Kari 22 8 0 14 32:55 24
10 KFG Gardabaer 22 6 5 11 38:52 23
11 Vidir 22 5 5 12 33:41 20
12 Hottur / Huginn 22 4 5 13 27:53 17
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)