Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Goncalves da Silva L. V.
19'
19'
Bruno Catanhede
23'
23'
Nguyen Van Dat
AI Match Summary
Viettel in this Vietnamese Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bac Ninh
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Viettel haven't matched Bac Ninh's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Bac Ninh arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Viettel, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Viettel Clean Sheet 12%
Bac Ninh Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Viettel | Bac Ninh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 18 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 Vietnamese Cup
Viettel vs Bac Ninh
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Viettel Compare
Top Goalscorer Goncalves da Silva L. V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Bac Ninh Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Viettel 30 / 100
Bac Ninh 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Viettel Bac Ninh
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Viettel scored in 97% of their last 30 games.
Bac Ninh let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
Viettel went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Viettel VS Bac Ninh
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Viettel
(Home) 16 Sept
Viettel
1 : 1 Melbourne Victory
10 Sept
Viettel
0 : 1 Cong An Ha Noi
04 Sept
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
0 : 2 Viettel
11 Jun
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
4 : 1 Viettel
07 Jun
Viettel
1 : 0 Cong An Ha Noi
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Viettel
1 : 1 Melbourne Victory
10 Sept
Viettel
0 : 1 Cong An Ha Noi
07 Jun
Viettel
1 : 0 Cong An Ha Noi
22 May
Viettel
1 : 1 PVF-CAND
03 May
Viettel
1 : 1 Phu Dong Ninh Binh
Page 1 of 3
Bac Ninh
(Away) 19 Sept
Long An
2 : 3 Bac Ninh
11 Sept
Bac Ninh
1 : 0 Ho Chi Minh
06 Sept
Song Lam Nghe An
1 : 0 Bac Ninh
26 Aug
Bac Ninh
2 : 1 Hung Yen
12 Jun
PVF-CAND
1 : 2 Bac Ninh
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Long An
2 : 3 Bac Ninh
06 Sept
Song Lam Nghe An
1 : 0 Bac Ninh
12 Jun
PVF-CAND
1 : 2 Bac Ninh
30 May
Quy Nhon United
2 : 4 Bac Ninh
16 May
Khanh Hoa
2 : 2 Bac Ninh
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Hai Phong -
TBD -
Xuan Thien Phu Tho 2
Phu Dong Ninh Binh 4
PVF-CAND -
TBD -
Thanh Hoa 0
Gia Lai 2
Cong An Ha Noi -
TBD -
Viettel 1
Hanoi FC 0
Khanh Hoa -
Hoa Binh -
Van Hien 0
Bac Ninh 1
Song Lam Nghe An -
TBD -
Da Nang 2
Ho Chi Minh 2 0
Nam Dinh -
TBD -
Long An 2
Quy Nhon United 1
Ho Chi Minh -
TBD -
Ho Chi Minh City 1
Aurora Saigon United 0
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 3
Binh Duong 1
Hong Linh Ha Tinh 1
Thep Can Tho 0
1/8-finals
Hai Phong 1
Phu Dong Ninh Binh 2
PVF-CAND 1
Gia Lai 0
Cong An Ha Noi 2
Viettel 3
Khanh Hoa 0
Bac Ninh 1
Song Lam Nghe An 2
Da Nang 3
Nam Dinh 2
Long An 0
Ho Chi Minh 3
Ho Chi Minh City 0
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 2
Hong Linh Ha Tinh 0
Quarter-finals
Phu Dong Ninh Binh 3
PVF-CAND 2
Viettel 1
Bac Ninh 0
Da Nang 1
Nam Dinh 2
Ho Chi Minh 1
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 0
Semi-finals
Phu Dong Ninh Binh 4
Viettel 1
Nam Dinh 2
Ho Chi Minh 4
Final
Phu Dong Ninh Binh 1
Ho Chi Minh 2
