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Vikingur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Víkingsvöllur, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Thrandarson A.
Assist: Gudjonsson H.
14' Event
Steingrimsson H.
Assist: Djuric D.
23' Event
Steingrimsson H.
Assist: Baldvinsson B.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between Vikingur Reykjavik and KA Akureyri finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vikingur Reykjavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Vikingur Reykjavik
6%
Draws
4%
KA Akureyri
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Vikingur Reykjavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vikingur Reykjavik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Vikingur Reykjavik a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vikingur Reykjavik here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Vikingur Reykjavik Clean Sheet 68%
KA Akureyri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vikingur Reykjavik KA Akureyri
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 25 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 2.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 Besta deild karla
Vikingur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri
3:2
Apr 17, 2026 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs Vikingur Reykjavik
0:2
Feb 15, 2026 League Cup
KA Akureyri vs Vikingur Reykjavik
2:0
Jun 22, 2025 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs Vikingur Reykjavik
0:2
Apr 13, 2025 Besta deild karla
Vikingur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vikingur Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Thrandarson A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

KA Akureyri Compare

Top Goalscorer Steingrimsson H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vikingur Reykjavik 95 / 100
KA Akureyri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vikingur Reykjavik KA Akureyri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vikingur Reykjavik's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

KA Akureyri's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Vikingur Reykjavik remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vikingur Reykjavik VS KA Akureyri
2.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Vikingur Reykjavik

(Home)
21 Jul
Vikingur Reykjavik
2 : 1
H. Beer Sheva
18 Jul
Thor Akureyri
2 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik
14 Jul
Gyor
2 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik
07 Jul
Vikingur Reykjavik
1 : 0
Gyor
02 Jul
Vikingur Reykjavik
3 : 2
KA Akureyri
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KA Akureyri

(Away)
19 Jul
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2 : 2
KA Akureyri
12 Jul
KA Akureyri
3 : 2
Akranes
02 Jul
Vikingur Reykjavik
3 : 2
KA Akureyri
28 Jun
Stjarnan
3 : 1
KA Akureyri
21 Jun
Breidablik
3 : 1
KA Akureyri
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik15131149:1140
2KR Reykjavik16112358:3635
3Fram15103241:2833
4Breidablik1575334:2626
5Keflavik1554624:2819
6Valur1661926:3219
7IBV Vestmannaeyjar1544726:3316
8Stjarnan1543828:3615
9Akranes1543821:3315
10KA Akureyri1542924:3214
11Hafnarfjordur1526720:3112
12Thor Akureyri15321017:4211
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)