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Vila Cortez vs Valadares Gaia FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 game between Vila Cortez and Valadares Gaia FC finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valadares Gaia FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Vila Cortez
6%
Draws
90%
Valadares Gaia FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Valadares Gaia FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Valadares Gaia FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Valadares Gaia FC taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Vila Cortez Clean Sheet 10%
Valadares Gaia FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Cortez Valadares Gaia FC
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 2 9
Draws 1 8
Losses 25 15
Goals Scored 2 1.13
Goals Conceded 4 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Valadares Gaia FC vs Vila Cortez
8:0
Jan 3, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Vila Cortez vs Valadares Gaia FC
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Cortez 10 / 100
Valadares Gaia FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Cortez Valadares Gaia FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.50 goals when they meet.

Valadares Gaia FC has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Valadares Gaia FC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Vila Cortez's goal record stands at 36% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Vila Cortez VS Valadares Gaia FC
2 Goals Scored 1.13
4 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vila Cortez

(Home)
08 Sept
Vila Cortez
2 : 4
Anadia
11 Sept
Os Marialvas
3 : 1
Vila Cortez
10 Apr
Vila Cortez
0 : 3
Canelas 2010
03 Apr
Valadares Gaia FC
8 : 0
Vila Cortez
14 Mar
Anadia
7 : 0
Vila Cortez
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Valadares Gaia FC

(Away)
07 Apr
SC Salgueiros
6 : 1
Valadares Gaia FC
24 Mar
Valadares Gaia FC
2 : 1
ACDR Lamelas
17 Mar
Vila Mea
3 : 3
Valadares Gaia FC
09 Mar
Valadares Gaia FC
0 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
03 Mar
Florgrade
1 : 0
Valadares Gaia FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Anadia22135439:1544
2Canelas 201022125528:1341
3Lusitania FC22116538:2639
4Sao Joao de Ver22108430:1438
5Sanjoanense22812226:1336
6Castro Daire22105723:2435
7Valadares Gaia FC22103936:2733
8SC Espinho2294933:2231
9Beira Mar2294930:2331
10Agueda22451317:2817
11Lusitano FCV22441417:3416
12Vila Cortez2211208:864
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)