Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vila Nova FC vs CRB

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiânia
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Mikael
Assist: Lucas Lovat
22'
Anderson Jesus
23'
Daniel

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Vila Nova FC and CRB finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Vila Nova FC
15%
Draws
40%
CRB
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vila Nova FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vila Nova FC come out ahead of CRB on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Vila Nova FC's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Vila Nova FC Clean Sheet 20%
CRB Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Nova FC CRB
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.34 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Serie B
CRB vs Vila Nova FC
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs CRB
2:2
Nov 15, 2025 Serie B
CRB vs Vila Nova FC
2:0
Jul 23, 2025 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs CRB
2:0
Sep 4, 2024 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs CRB
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vila Nova FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Dellatorre
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dudu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

CRB Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikael
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Neto
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Nova FC 42 / 100
CRB 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Nova FC CRB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vila Nova FC's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

CRB has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Vila Nova FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vila Nova FC VS CRB
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vila Nova FC

(Home)
18 Sept
Vila Nova FC
1 : 0
America MG
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1
Vila Nova FC
10 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Goias
04 Sept
Athletic Club
5 : 0
Vila Nova FC
30 Aug
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Ceara
Page 1 of 6

CRB

(Away)
20 Sept
Ponte Preta
1 : 0
CRB
16 Sept
CRB
2 : 1
Sport Recife
09 Sept
Operario-PR
3 : 0
CRB
05 Sept
CRB
3 : 1
America MG
30 Aug
CRB
2 : 1
Criciuma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 29 15 6 8 41:31 51
2 Fortaleza 29 14 9 6 33:24 51
3 Novorizontino 29 14 8 7 49:27 50
4 EC Juventude 29 14 8 7 31:19 50
5 Operario-PR 29 13 8 8 41:36 47
6 Criciuma 29 13 8 8 28:27 47
7 Atletico GO 29 12 10 7 36:27 46
8 CRB 29 13 6 10 42:41 45
9 Sport Recife 29 11 11 7 39:29 44
10 Cuiaba 29 10 13 6 30:22 43
11 Goias 29 12 6 11 30:35 42
12 Sao Bernardo 29 11 8 10 40:31 41
13 Athletic Club 29 10 11 8 34:31 41
14 Nautico 29 10 8 11 35:36 38
15 Ceara 29 9 8 12 31:37 35
16 Botafogo SP 29 8 8 13 32:36 32
17 Avai 29 8 6 15 30:38 30
18 Londrina 29 7 7 15 39:41 28
19 America MG 29 4 5 20 21:49 17
20 Ponte Preta 29 3 4 22 17:62 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)