Sport Picks
Vila Nova FC vs Nautico
Brazil
Serie B Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga 
AI Match Summary
Vila Nova FC play Nautico in the Serie B. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vila Nova FC averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Nautico averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Vila Nova FC won 4, Nautico won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 20, 2026 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Vila Nova FC and 1.31 for Nautico. This points to a Vila Nova FC double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Vila Nova FC picked up more points recently compared to Nautico.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.31 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vila Nova FC | Nautico |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vila Nova FC Compare
Nautico Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vila Nova FC scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Nautico let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Vila Nova FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Nautico lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 20:12 | 33 |
| 2 | Vila Nova FC | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 31 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 27:14 | 30 |
| 4 | EC Juventude | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 17:8 | 29 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 6 | Operario-PR | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:17 | 28 |
| 7 | Sao Bernardo | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 21:14 | 25 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 18:12 | 25 |
| 9 | Goias | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16:21 | 24 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 12:9 | 23 |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 16:16 | 22 |
| 12 | Nautico | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21:19 | 21 |
| 13 | Atletico GO | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18:19 | 21 |
| 14 | Botafogo SP | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 15 | CRB | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 24:29 | 19 |
| 16 | Londrina | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 24:24 | 18 |
| 17 | Ceara | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:20 | 17 |
| 18 | Avai | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16:24 | 13 |
| 19 | Ponte Preta | 17 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11:33 | 8 |
| 20 | America MG | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10:27 | 6 |