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Vilafranquense vs Nogueirense Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vilafranquense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vilafranquense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Vilafranquense
35%
Draws
35%
Nogueirense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vilafranquense lately — more wins on the board than Nogueirense.
  • Vilafranquense are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Vilafranquense Clean Sheet 19%
Nogueirense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilafranquense Nogueirense
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 14 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.09 1.14
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Vilafranquense vs Nogueirense
2:1
Jan 13, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Nogueirense vs Vilafranquense
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilafranquense 36 / 100
Nogueirense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilafranquense Nogueirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Vilafranquense scored in 66% of their last 35 outings.

Nogueirense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Vilafranquense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vilafranquense VS Nogueirense
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.67
88% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilafranquense

(Home)
28 May
Vilafranquense
1 : 1
BSAD
19 May
Leixoes
2 : 0
Vilafranquense
14 May
Vilafranquense
0 : 0
Covilha
06 May
Mafra
2 : 1
Vilafranquense
29 Apr
Vilafranquense
2 : 0
Torreense
Page 1 of 7

Nogueirense

(Away)
13 Sept
SB Castelo Branco
2 : 3
Nogueirense
06 Sept
Nogueirense
1 : 1
Uniao Da Serra
30 Aug
Nogueirense
1 : 3
Naval 1893
23 Aug
Fazendense
3 : 3
Nogueirense
16 Aug
Nogueirense
1 : 1
Sertanense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leiria 34 24 3 7 59:24 75
2 Vilafranquense 34 21 9 4 56:22 72
3 Anadia 34 20 11 3 52:23 71
4 SB Castelo Branco 34 17 11 6 45:23 62
5 Sintrense 34 15 9 10 49:41 54
6 Oliveira Hospital 34 13 13 8 42:27 52
7 Alverca 34 14 9 11 39:33 51
8 Caldas SC 34 12 10 12 37:38 46
9 Oleiros 34 11 12 11 38:44 45
10 Torreense 34 11 11 12 36:36 44
11 Fatima 34 12 7 15 38:46 43
12 GS Loures 34 11 8 15 33:31 41
13 Sertanense 34 8 17 9 32:36 41
14 Nogueirense 34 11 8 15 32:39 41
15 Santa Iria 34 9 8 17 35:55 35
16 Alcains 34 5 8 21 21:48 23
17 GD Peniche 34 5 8 21 22:51 23
18 Macao 34 3 6 25 20:69 15
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)