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Vilaverdense FC vs Santa Maria FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2014/2015 game between Vilaverdense FC and Santa Maria FC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vilaverdense FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Vilaverdense FC
39%
Draws
30%
Santa Maria FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santa Maria FC come out ahead of Vilaverdense FC on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Vilaverdense FC Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Maria FC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilaverdense FC Santa Maria FC
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 11 11
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Santa Maria FC vs Vilaverdense FC
0:1
Mar 22, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vilaverdense FC vs Santa Maria FC
2:0
Jan 4, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Santa Maria FC vs Vilaverdense FC
1:1
Oct 26, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vilaverdense FC vs Santa Maria FC
0:0
Apr 13, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vilaverdense FC vs Santa Maria FC
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilaverdense FC 32 / 100
Santa Maria FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilaverdense FC Santa Maria FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Maria FC let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Away concern: Santa Maria FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Vilaverdense FC found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (34 games).

Scoring Trends

Vilaverdense FC VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilaverdense FC

(Home)
18 Apr
GD Braganca
3 : 0
Vilaverdense FC
12 Apr
Vilaverdense FC
0 : 3
Camacha
08 Apr
Machico
1 : 0
Vilaverdense FC
22 Mar
Vilaverdense FC
0 : 2
Brito
15 Mar
Sao Martinho
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
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Santa Maria FC

(Away)
22 Oct
Penafiel
3 : 0
Santa Maria FC
24 Sept
SC Salgueiros
0 : 1
Santa Maria FC
24 May
SC Vianense
2 : 0
Santa Maria FC
17 May
Santa Maria FC
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
10 May
Cerveira
2 : 2
Santa Maria FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vilaverdense FC1482428:1541
2GD Braganca1473419:1837
3SC Vianense1465320:1634
4Pedras Salgadas1454515:1632
5AD Limianos1455422:2027
6Cerveira1434718:2625
7Santa Maria FC1435621:2024
8Vieira1434713:2518
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2014/2015 (Play Out)