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Vilhena vs Ariquemes FC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Rondoniense 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Vilhena advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Vilhena
6%
Draws
90%
Ariquemes FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ariquemes FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ariquemes FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ariquemes FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Ariquemes FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vilhena, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Vilhena Clean Sheet 19%
Ariquemes FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilhena Ariquemes FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 6 10
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2017 Rondoniense
Ariquemes FC vs Vilhena
2:2
Apr 16, 2017 Rondoniense
Vilhena vs Ariquemes FC
1:0
May 31, 2015 Rondoniense
Ariquemes FC vs Vilhena
0:1
Apr 19, 2015 Rondoniense
Vilhena vs Ariquemes FC
1:1
May 31, 2014 Rondoniense
Vilhena vs Ariquemes FC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilhena 10 / 100
Ariquemes FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilhena Ariquemes FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ariquemes FC has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Vilhena found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (31 games).

Solid form: Vilhena remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vilhena VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilhena

(Home)
30 Mar
Vilhena
3 : 3
Guapore
23 Mar
Vilhena
0 : 3
Barcelona RO
16 Mar
Ji-Parana
2 : 0
Vilhena
12 Mar
Vilhena
0 : 3
Genus
09 Mar
Porto Velho
3 : 0
Vilhena
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Ariquemes FC

(Away)
07 Jun
Ariquemes FC
2 : 1
Ji-Parana
27 May
Ariquemes FC
2 : 2
Vilhena
24 May
CA Rondoniense
1 : 1
Ariquemes FC
14 May
Ariquemes FC
0 : 0
Real Ariquemes
06 May
Guajara
0 : 5
Ariquemes FC
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Pimentense2
Ariquemes FC5
Rolim de Moura0
Vilhena3
Final
Ariquemes FC0
Vilhena1