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Vilhena vs Ariquemes FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Rondoniense 2017
Vilhena Logo

Vilhena

1 - 0
FT
Ariquemes FC Logo

Ariquemes FC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Rondoniense 2017 game between Vilhena and Ariquemes FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vilhena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Vilhena
35%
Draws
58%
Ariquemes FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ariquemes FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ariquemes FC come out ahead of Vilhena on wins alone.
  • Ariquemes FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Rondoniense 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Vilhena Clean Sheet 16%
Ariquemes FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilhena Ariquemes FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 6 10
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.84 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.42 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2017 Rondoniense
Ariquemes FC vs Vilhena
2:2
Apr 16, 2017 Rondoniense
Vilhena vs Ariquemes FC
1:0
May 31, 2015 Rondoniense
Ariquemes FC vs Vilhena
0:1
Apr 19, 2015 Rondoniense
Vilhena vs Ariquemes FC
1:1
May 31, 2014 Rondoniense
Vilhena vs Ariquemes FC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilhena 10 / 100
Ariquemes FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilhena Ariquemes FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ariquemes FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ariquemes FC has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Vilhena scored in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Vilhena went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vilhena VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilhena

(Home)
29 Aug
Vilhena
1 : 4
Rolim de Moura
22 Aug
Rolim de Moura
5 : 1
Vilhena
30 Mar
Vilhena
3 : 3
Guapore
23 Mar
Vilhena
0 : 3
Barcelona RO
16 Mar
Ji-Parana
2 : 0
Vilhena
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Ariquemes FC

(Away)
07 Jun
Ariquemes FC
2 : 1
Ji-Parana
27 May
Ariquemes FC
2 : 2
Vilhena
24 May
CA Rondoniense
1 : 1
Ariquemes FC
14 May
Ariquemes FC
0 : 0
Real Ariquemes
06 May
Guajara
0 : 5
Ariquemes FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona RO 14 9 3 2 21:9 30
2 Real Ariquemes 14 7 7 0 18:7 28
3 Vilhena 14 6 4 4 18:14 22
4 Genus 14 4 7 3 18:13 19
5 Ariquemes FC 14 3 8 3 23:15 17
6 CA Rondoniense 14 4 5 5 18:20 17
7 Ji-Parana 14 3 3 8 21:25 12
8 Guajara 14 1 1 12 9:43 4
Promotion - Campeonato Rondoniense 2017 (Play Offs)