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Villa Espanola vs Uruguay Montevideo FC

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2022 Obdulio Varela
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Tajan C.
49'
Paolini M.
72'
Ghan E.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2022 game between Villa Espanola and Uruguay Montevideo FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uruguay Montevideo FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Villa Espanola
44%
Draws
20%
Uruguay Montevideo FC
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Uruguay Montevideo FC come out ahead of Villa Espanola on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Villa Espanola have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Villa Espanola Clean Sheet 20%
Uruguay Montevideo FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Espanola Uruguay Montevideo FC
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 10
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2022 Segunda Division
Villa Espanola vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
0:1
Jun 19, 2022 Segunda Division
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Villa Espanola
1:3
Oct 27, 2007 Segunda Division
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Villa Espanola
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa Espanola Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Uruguay Montevideo FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Tajan C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Espanola 36 / 100
Uruguay Montevideo FC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Espanola Uruguay Montevideo FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Uruguay Montevideo FC has conceded goals in 75% of their last 36 outings.

Villa Espanola scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

Recent resilience: Villa Espanola stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Uruguay Montevideo FC
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Racing Montevideo27176440:1857
2La Luz27149435:2351
3Uruguay Montevideo FC27135935:2944
4CA Cerro27118831:3041
5Miramar271010738:3240
6Rampla Juniors271051232:3135
7Sud America27961227:3833
8Atenas27881124:2532
9Progreso277101023:2731
10Juventud27691219:2827
11Villa Espanola27761427:3727
12Central Esp.274101322:3522