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Villa Valle vs Lavis

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Beretta R.
34' Event
Siani G.
57' Event
Ferrario C.

AI Match Summary

Villa Valle in this Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villa Valle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Villa Valle
30%
Draws
0%
Lavis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Villa Valle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Villa Valle have won more games recently than Lavis.
  • Model gives Villa Valle a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Villa Valle Clean Sheet 68%
Lavis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Valle Lavis
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 2
Draws 9 2
Losses 11 26
Goals Scored 1.13 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.4 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Villa Valle vs Lavis
3:1
Sep 22, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Lavis vs Villa Valle
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa Valle Compare

Top Goalscorer Beretta R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Siani G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Lavis Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruggiero P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Valle 95 / 100
Lavis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Valle Lavis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villa Valle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lavis let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Difficult form: Lavis registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Villa Valle's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Villa Valle VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa Valle

(Home)
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1
Villa Valle
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0
Ciserano-Bergamo
06 Sept
Virtus Verona
2 : 2
Villa Valle
03 May
Breno
2 : 1
Villa Valle
26 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 3
Oltrepo
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Lavis

(Away)
04 May
Cjarlins Muzane
2 : 1
Lavis
27 Apr
Lavis
0 : 1
Mestre
17 Apr
Este
3 : 2
Lavis
12 Apr
Bassano Virtus
5 : 0
Lavis
06 Apr
Lavis
0 : 1
Portogruaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 23 9 6 65:39 78
2 Treviso 38 22 8 8 59:32 74
3 Villa Valle 38 19 10 9 62:44 67
4 Adriese 38 18 12 8 55:31 66
5 Mestre 38 19 7 12 40:34 64
6 Campodarsego 38 15 17 6 52:36 62
7 Brusaporto 38 16 12 10 46:37 60
8 Luparense FC 38 13 17 8 48:36 56
9 Real Calepina 38 15 10 13 44:44 55
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 15 10 13 50:49 55
11 Este 38 14 12 12 50:50 54
12 Brian Lignano 38 12 12 14 45:49 48
13 Calvi Noale 38 12 11 15 44:44 47
14 Bassano Virtus 38 11 14 13 43:36 47
15 Portogruaro 38 10 16 12 32:36 46
16 Caravaggio 38 11 8 19 42:54 41
17 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 9 13 16 42:55 40
18 Chions 38 6 12 20 35:59 30
19 Montecchio Maggiore 38 6 9 23 32:55 27
20 Lavis 38 3 3 32 25:91 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)