Sport Picks
Villa Valle vs Montecchio Maggiore
Italy
Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 
Match Events
8'
8'
Mecca B.
25'
25'
Manarin L.
43'
43'
Zanella G.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 game between Villa Valle and Montecchio Maggiore finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montecchio Maggiore.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
35%
16%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Villa Valle
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Villa Valle come out ahead of Montecchio Maggiore on wins alone.
- Villa Valle are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Villa Valle Clean Sheet 68%
Montecchio Maggiore Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Villa Valle | Montecchio Maggiore |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 4 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 16, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Villa Valle vs Montecchio Maggiore
2:3
Oct 20, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Montecchio Maggiore vs Villa Valle
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Villa Valle Compare
Top Goalscorer Mecca B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Brigidi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Montecchio Maggiore Compare
Top Goalscorer Zanella G.
2 Goals Assists Leader Manarin L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Villa Valle 86 / 100
Montecchio Maggiore 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Villa Valle Montecchio Maggiore
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Villa Valle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Montecchio Maggiore let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Villa Valle scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Villa Valle went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Villa Valle VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Villa Valle
(Home) 20 Sept
Villa Valle
1 : 2 AC Milan U23
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1 Villa Valle
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
06 Sept
Virtus Verona
2 : 2 Villa Valle
03 May
Breno
2 : 1 Villa Valle
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Villa Valle
1 : 2 AC Milan U23
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
26 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 3 Oltrepo
12 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 1 Ciserano-Bergamo
29 Mar
Villa Valle
0 : 1 USD Casatese
Page 1 of 3
Montecchio Maggiore
(Away) 04 May
Montecchio Maggiore
1 : 3 Brusaporto
27 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 1 Montecchio Maggiore
17 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 3 Calvi Noale
12 Apr
Treviso
1 : 0 Montecchio Maggiore
06 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 1 Brian Lignano
Page 1 of 6
27 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 1 Montecchio Maggiore
12 Apr
Treviso
1 : 0 Montecchio Maggiore
30 Mar
Chions
1 : 0 Montecchio Maggiore
02 Mar
Este
2 : 0 Montecchio Maggiore
16 Feb
Villa Valle
2 : 3 Montecchio Maggiore
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 65:39 | 78 |
| 2 | Treviso | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 59:32 | 74 |
| 3 | Villa Valle | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 62:44 | 67 |
| 4 | Adriese | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 55:31 | 66 |
| 5 | Mestre | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 40:34 | 64 |
| 6 | Campodarsego | 38 | 15 | 17 | 6 | 52:36 | 62 |
| 7 | Brusaporto | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 46:37 | 60 |
| 8 | Luparense FC | 38 | 13 | 17 | 8 | 48:36 | 56 |
| 9 | Real Calepina | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 44:44 | 55 |
| 10 | Cjarlins Muzane | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 50:49 | 55 |
| 11 | Este | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:50 | 54 |
| 12 | Brian Lignano | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 45:49 | 48 |
| 13 | Calvi Noale | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 44:44 | 47 |
| 14 | Bassano Virtus | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 43:36 | 47 |
| 15 | Portogruaro | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 16 | Caravaggio | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 42:54 | 41 |
| 17 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 42:55 | 40 |
| 18 | Chions | 38 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 35:59 | 30 |
| 19 | Montecchio Maggiore | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 32:55 | 27 |
| 20 | Lavis | 38 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 25:91 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)
