Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Villabiagio in this Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villabiagio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
35%
9%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Villabiagio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Colligiana haven't matched Villabiagio's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Villabiagio's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Villabiagio have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Villabiagio Clean Sheet 20%
Colligiana Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Villabiagio | Colligiana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 4 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 6, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Colligiana vs Villabiagio
2:3
Dec 17, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Villabiagio vs Colligiana
4:0
Mar 8, 2015 Serie D - Group E
Colligiana vs Villabiagio
1:0
Oct 26, 2014 Serie D - Group E
Villabiagio vs Colligiana
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Villabiagio 67 / 100
Colligiana 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Villabiagio Colligiana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Villabiagio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Colligiana has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.25 goals.
Attacking prowess: Villabiagio scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Villabiagio went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Villabiagio VS Colligiana
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Villabiagio
(Home) 06 May
Colligiana
2 : 3 Villabiagio
29 Apr
Villabiagio
0 : 0 Imolese
22 Apr
Lentigione
4 : 0 Villabiagio
15 Apr
Villabiagio
2 : 2 Sammaurese
08 Apr
Vigor Carpaneto
1 : 1 Villabiagio
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29 Apr
Villabiagio
0 : 0 Imolese
15 Apr
Villabiagio
2 : 2 Sammaurese
29 Mar
Villabiagio
0 : 0 Tuttocuoio
14 Mar
Villabiagio
1 : 2 Forli FC
21 Feb
Villabiagio
2 : 1 Castelvetro
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Colligiana
(Away) 27 Aug
Grosseto
4 : 0 Colligiana
06 May
Colligiana
2 : 3 Villabiagio
29 Apr
Sangiovannese
1 : 0 Colligiana
22 Apr
Colligiana
0 : 2 Forli FC
15 Apr
Castelvetro
1 : 1 Colligiana
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27 Aug
Grosseto
4 : 0 Colligiana
29 Apr
Sangiovannese
1 : 0 Colligiana
15 Apr
Castelvetro
1 : 1 Colligiana
29 Mar
Fiorenzuola
1 : 0 Colligiana
18 Mar
Correggese
1 : 1 Colligiana
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rimini | 38 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 65:38 | 80 |
| 2 | Imolese | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72:45 | 71 |
| 3 | Forli FC | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 60:43 | 65 |
| 4 | Fiorenzuola | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 50:32 | 64 |
| 5 | Sangiovannese | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 42:38 | 61 |
| 6 | Lentigione | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 45:33 | 60 |
| 7 | Villabiagio | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 52:49 | 59 |
| 8 | Pianese | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 54:35 | 58 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 42:40 | 56 |
| 10 | Romagna Centro | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 49:42 | 54 |
| 11 | Sammaurese | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 34:29 | 54 |
| 12 | Sasso Marconi | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 35:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Vigor Carpaneto | 38 | 9 | 18 | 11 | 50:48 | 45 |
| 14 | Tuttocuoio | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 25:34 | 42 |
| 15 | Sporting Trestina | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 36:52 | 41 |
| 16 | Castelvetro | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 46:62 | 38 |
| 17 | Mezzolara | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 34:50 | 36 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 38 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 40:62 | 33 |
| 19 | Correggese | 38 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 37:55 | 32 |
| 20 | Colligiana | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 27:60 | 29 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
