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Villacarrillo vs Ejido Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ejido in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ejido.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Villacarrillo
15%
Draws
21%
Ejido
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Villacarrillo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Villacarrillo lately — more wins on the board than Ejido.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Villacarrillo Clean Sheet 20%
Ejido Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villacarrillo Ejido
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 1.3 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.07 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Villacarrillo vs Ejido
0:1
Oct 19, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Ejido vs Villacarrillo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villacarrillo 31 / 100
Ejido 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villacarrillo Ejido

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villacarrillo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ejido's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Villacarrillo found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: Ejido registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ejido
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Villacarrillo

(Home)
13 May
Villacarrillo
6 : 3
Guadix
06 May
Velez
4 : 0
Villacarrillo
29 Apr
Villacarrillo
0 : 3
Linares
22 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 0
Villacarrillo
15 Apr
Villacarrillo
2 : 3
Loja
Page 1 of 6

Ejido

(Away)
11 May
Ejido
1 : 3
El Palo
04 May
Huetor Tajar
1 : 0
Ejido
01 May
Ejido
1 : 2
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
27 Apr
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 1
Ejido
13 Apr
Ejido
0 : 3
Motril
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linares 38 27 7 4 88:26 88
2 Malaga B 38 23 6 9 69:36 75
3 UD San Pedro 38 21 10 7 65:35 73
4 Martos 38 22 5 11 66:42 71
5 Loja 38 20 9 9 55:36 69
6 Huetor Tajar 38 17 11 10 53:37 62
7 Los Villares 38 15 13 10 43:37 58
8 Maracena 38 16 9 13 66:52 57
9 Guadix 38 11 18 9 49:49 51
10 Mancha 38 13 11 14 36:34 50
11 Velez 38 13 10 15 49:47 49
12 Espanol Alquian 38 14 6 18 53:70 48
13 Ejido 38 13 8 17 55:75 47
14 CD Ronda 38 12 7 19 52:63 43
15 Antequera 38 10 12 16 51:55 42
16 Alhaurin 38 11 8 19 43:74 41
17 Atarfe Industrial 38 9 10 19 53:70 37
18 Villacarrillo 38 8 7 23 32:64 31
19 Atletico Melilla 38 7 9 22 29:58 30
20 Los Molinos CF 38 6 8 24 32:79 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)