Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Villarrobledo play Marchamalo in the Tercera RFEF - Group 18. It looks like a close match. Recently, Villarrobledo averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Marchamalo averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Villarrobledo won 2, Marchamalo won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 1, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Villarrobledo and 0.94 for Marchamalo. This points to a Villarrobledo double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Villarrobledo picked up more points recently compared to Marchamalo.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 0.94 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Villarrobledo | Marchamalo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Villarrobledo Compare
Marchamalo Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Villarrobledo scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Marchamalo let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Villarrobledo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Marchamalo lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puertollano C.F. | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 54:21 | 74 |
| 2 | CD Tarancon | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 62:25 | 73 |
| 3 | Toledo | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 55:17 | 68 |
| 4 | Albacete B | 34 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 49:17 | 64 |
| 5 | Manchego Ciudad Real | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:29 | 61 |
| 6 | Villarrubia | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:35 | 53 |
| 7 | Villacanas | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 29:26 | 48 |
| 8 | San Clemente | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 36:44 | 47 |
| 9 | CD Guadalajara B | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 30:37 | 43 |
| 10 | Villarrobledo | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 30:36 | 43 |
| 11 | Huracan de Balazote | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 33:45 | 41 |
| 12 | Illescas | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 21:32 | 37 |
| 13 | Marchamalo | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38:47 | 37 |
| 14 | La Solana | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 26:38 | 35 |
| 15 | Azuqueca | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 34:39 | 34 |
| 16 | CD Pedroneras | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 28:43 | 33 |
| 17 | Sonseca | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 28:69 | 22 |
| 18 | Cazalegas | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 17:64 | 18 |