Sport Picks
Villarrobledo vs Marchamalo Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 
Match Events
14'
14'
Toure M.
45'
45'
Arimany J.
(Penalty)
51'
51'
Bayiha A. P. Y.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 game between Villarrobledo and Marchamalo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villarrobledo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
35%
27%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Villarrobledo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Marchamalo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Villarrobledo are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Villarrobledo Clean Sheet 68%
Marchamalo Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Villarrobledo | Marchamalo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrobledo vs Marchamalo
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs Villarrobledo
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrobledo vs Marchamalo
0:6
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs Villarrobledo
2:4
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrobledo vs Marchamalo
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Villarrobledo Compare
Top Goalscorer Toure M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Marchamalo Compare
Top Goalscorer Bayiha A. P. Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Villarrobledo 68 / 100
Marchamalo 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Villarrobledo Marchamalo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Villarrobledo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Villarrobledo went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Marchamalo has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Villarrobledo scored in 55% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Villarrobledo VS Marchamalo
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Villarrobledo
(Home) 03 Oct
La Solana
0 : 1 Villarrobledo
27 Sept
Villarrobledo
2 : 0 Noblejas
19 Sept
Villarrubia
0 : 4 Villarrobledo
13 Sept
Villarrobledo
1 : 1 Quintanar del Rey
06 Sept
Socuellamos
0 : 0 Villarrobledo
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Villarrobledo
2 : 0 Noblejas
13 Sept
Villarrobledo
1 : 1 Quintanar del Rey
15 Aug
Villarrobledo
0 : 1 Yeclano
03 May
Villarrobledo
0 : 0 Illescas
12 Apr
Villarrobledo
0 : 0 Albacete B
Page 1 of 3
Marchamalo
(Away) 03 Oct
Marchamalo
2 : 2 CD Tarancon
27 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 2 Marchamalo
20 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 2 CD Guadalajara B
13 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 2 Marchamalo
05 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 0 CD Villa
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 2 Marchamalo
13 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 2 Marchamalo
15 Aug
Pozuelo de Alarcon
0 : 1 Marchamalo
12 Aug
CD Daganzo
0 : 2 Marchamalo
10 May
Sonseca
1 : 0 Marchamalo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puertollano C.F. | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 54:21 | 74 |
| 2 | CD Tarancon | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 62:25 | 73 |
| 3 | Toledo | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 55:17 | 68 |
| 4 | Albacete B | 34 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 49:17 | 64 |
| 5 | Manchego Ciudad Real | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:29 | 61 |
| 6 | Villarrubia | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:35 | 53 |
| 7 | Villacanas | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 29:26 | 48 |
| 8 | San Clemente | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 36:44 | 47 |
| 9 | CD Guadalajara B | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 30:37 | 43 |
| 10 | Villarrobledo | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 30:36 | 43 |
| 11 | Huracan de Balazote | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 33:45 | 41 |
| 12 | Illescas | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 21:32 | 37 |
| 13 | Marchamalo | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38:47 | 37 |
| 14 | La Solana | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 26:38 | 35 |
| 15 | Azuqueca | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 34:39 | 34 |
| 16 | CD Pedroneras | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 28:43 | 33 |
| 17 | Sonseca | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 28:69 | 22 |
| 18 | Cazalegas | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 17:64 | 18 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
