Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villarrobledo vs Toledo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Villarrobledo
35%
Draws
26%
Toledo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Villarrobledo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Toledo lately — more wins on the board than Villarrobledo.
  • Villarrobledo are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Toledo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Villarrobledo Clean Sheet 68%
Toledo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villarrobledo Toledo
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 16
Draws 11 8
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1 1.58
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrobledo vs Toledo
0:0
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo vs Villarrobledo
3:1
Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrobledo vs Toledo
0:1
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo vs Villarrobledo
1:0
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo vs Villarrobledo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villarrobledo 77 / 100
Toledo 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villarrobledo Toledo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villarrobledo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villarrobledo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Toledo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Villarrobledo found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Toledo has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Villarrobledo VS Toledo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Villarrobledo

(Home)
19 Sept
Villarrubia
0 : 4
Villarrobledo
13 Sept
Villarrobledo
1 : 1
Quintanar del Rey
06 Sept
Socuellamos
0 : 0
Villarrobledo
15 Aug
Villarrobledo
0 : 1
Yeclano
09 May
Villacanas
0 : 0
Villarrobledo
Page 1 of 6

Toledo

(Away)
19 Sept
Noblejas
2 : 1
Toledo
12 Sept
Toledo
1 : 1
Villarrubia
06 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 4
Toledo
05 Aug
Toledo
1 : 3
Navalcarnero
24 May
Toledo
0 : 1
Albacete B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puertollano C.F. 34 22 8 4 54:21 74
2 CD Tarancon 34 22 7 5 62:25 73
3 Toledo 34 19 11 4 55:17 68
4 Albacete B 34 17 13 4 49:17 64
5 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 18 7 9 52:29 61
6 Villarrubia 34 15 8 11 42:35 53
7 Villacanas 34 12 12 10 29:26 48
8 San Clemente 34 12 11 11 36:44 47
9 CD Guadalajara B 34 11 10 13 30:37 43
10 Villarrobledo 34 10 13 11 30:36 43
11 Huracan de Balazote 34 12 5 17 33:45 41
12 Illescas 34 8 13 13 21:32 37
13 Marchamalo 34 10 7 17 38:47 37
14 La Solana 34 8 11 15 26:38 35
15 Azuqueca 34 7 13 14 34:39 34
16 CD Pedroneras 34 7 12 15 28:43 33
17 Sonseca 34 5 7 22 28:69 22
18 Cazalegas 34 4 6 24 17:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)