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Villarrobledo vs Tomelloso

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Delgado Jambrena R.
18' Event
Martinez C.
28' Event
Farisato M.

AI Match Summary

Villarrobledo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villarrobledo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Villarrobledo
6%
Draws
4%
Tomelloso
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Villarrobledo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Villarrobledo lately — more wins on the board than Tomelloso.
  • Villarrobledo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Villarrobledo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Villarrobledo Clean Sheet 68%
Tomelloso Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villarrobledo Tomelloso
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 11 9
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 0.38 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrobledo vs Tomelloso
2:1
Oct 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs Villarrobledo
0:1
Jan 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs Villarrobledo
2:2
Sep 17, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrobledo vs Tomelloso
2:0
Feb 10, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs Villarrobledo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villarrobledo Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Farisato M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Tomelloso Compare

Top Goalscorer Delgado Jambrena R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villarrobledo 95 / 100
Tomelloso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villarrobledo Tomelloso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomelloso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Villarrobledo scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Villarrobledo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Villarrobledo VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Conquense342110357:1873
2Cazalegas34178948:3559
3Toledo341610847:2558
4Socuellamos341513648:2858
5Quintanar del Rey34169946:2957
6Puertollano C.F.341511848:3356
7Villarrubia341510936:3155
8CD Tarancon341114938:3147
9Albacete B3412101247:4946
10Azuqueca3410111340:4641
11Villacanas3410111334:3641
12Villarrobledo3410111328:3741
13Marchamalo341091527:3839
14Huracan de Balazote348151135:4739
15La Solana341091534:3939
16Torrijos345131623:4528
17Tomelloso345111824:5526
18San Clemente34472328:6619