Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villefranche vs Caen

France France

National 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Debohi D. G.
11' Event
Mroivili R.
Assist: Mixtur K.
17'
Sub
Debohi D. G. In: Rajot L.
Out: Debohi D. G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Villefranche
17%
Draws
70%
Caen
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Caen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Caen average 1.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Villefranche's 1.13.
  • Model gives Caen a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Villefranche Clean Sheet 15%
Caen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villefranche Caen
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 12
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Ligue 3
Caen vs Villefranche
3:0
Dec 5, 2025 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Caen
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villefranche Compare

Top Goalscorer Mroivili R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Caen Compare

Top Goalscorer Botella I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villefranche 15 / 100
Caen 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villefranche Caen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villefranche's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Caen conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Villefranche has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Villefranche VS Caen
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Villefranche

(Home)
15 Jul
Grenoble
5 : 2
Villefranche
15 May
Concarneau
2 : 2
Villefranche
02 May
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 0
Villefranche
24 Apr
Caen
3 : 0
Villefranche
17 Apr
Villefranche
3 : 1
Paris 13 Atletico
Page 1 of 6

Caen

(Away)
25 Jul
Caen
4 : 1
Al Wakra
18 Jul
Caen
4 : 2
Laval
15 Jul
Caen
3 : 4
Paris 13 Atletico
09 Jul
Rennes
1 : 2
Caen
15 May
Aubagne FC
3 : 1
Caen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dijon321811352:2565
2Sochaux321610651:2658
3Rouen321413543:2955
4Fleury-Merogis32159847:3054
5Versailles32158946:3453
6Orleans32149942:4251
7Le Puy-en-Velay321211945:3847
8Caen32816839:3440
9Concarneau328141032:3738
10Valenciennes321081435:4437
11Aubagne FC329101338:4637
12Villefranche321071534:4537
13Quevilly32891534:4533
14Paris 13 Atletico327111426:4132
15Bourg Peronnas32871725:4431
16Chateauroux326131335:4930
17Stade Briochin325121535:5027
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)