Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villefranche vs Dijon

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Armand Chouffet, Villefranche-sur-Saône
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Barka Y.
37' Event
Hamada B.
Assist: Tavares J.
41'
Assef M.

AI Match Summary

The National 2025/2026 game between Villefranche and Dijon finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dijon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Villefranche
6%
Draws
90%
Dijon
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dijon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dijon come out ahead of Villefranche on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Dijon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Villefranche Clean Sheet 14%
Dijon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villefranche Dijon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 19
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 3
Goals Scored 1.29 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.86 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Dijon
1:2
Sep 12, 2025 Ligue 3
Dijon vs Villefranche
0:0
Apr 18, 2025 Ligue 3
Dijon vs Villefranche
2:0
Dec 6, 2024 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Dijon
1:0
Feb 16, 2024 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Dijon
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villefranche Compare

Top Goalscorer Leye B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Dijon Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamada B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barka Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villefranche 10 / 100
Dijon 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villefranche Dijon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DIJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villefranche found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Dijon conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Villefranche went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Villefranche VS Dijon
1.29 Goals Scored 1.38
1.86 Goals Conceded 1.13
71% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Villefranche

(Home)
15 Jul
Grenoble
5 : 2
Villefranche
15 May
Concarneau
2 : 2
Villefranche
02 May
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 0
Villefranche
24 Apr
Caen
3 : 0
Villefranche
17 Apr
Villefranche
3 : 1
Paris 13 Atletico
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Dijon

(Away)
25 Jul
Sochaux
0 : 3
Dijon
22 Jul
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 2
Dijon
18 Jul
Dijon
4 : 1
Progres Niedercorn
15 Jul
Dijon
5 : 2
UNFP
11 Jul
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1
Dijon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dijon321811352:2565
2Sochaux321610651:2658
3Rouen321413543:2955
4Fleury-Merogis32159847:3054
5Versailles32158946:3453
6Orleans32149942:4251
7Le Puy-en-Velay321211945:3847
8Caen32816839:3440
9Concarneau328141032:3738
10Valenciennes321081435:4437
11Aubagne FC329101338:4637
12Villefranche321071534:4537
13Quevilly32891534:4533
14Paris 13 Atletico327111426:4132
15Bourg Peronnas32871725:4431
16Chateauroux326131335:4930
17Stade Briochin325121535:5027
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)