Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villefranche vs Le Puy-en-Velay

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Armand Chouffet, Villefranche-sur-Saône
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Akkal S.
Assist: Adelaide M.
5' Event
Diebold Y.
Assist: Adelaide M.
19' Event
Adelaide M.
Assist: Xhemo R.

AI Match Summary

The National 2025/2026 game between Villefranche and Le Puy-en-Velay finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Le Puy-en-Velay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Villefranche
28%
Draws
22%
Le Puy-en-Velay
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Villefranche

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Le Puy-en-Velay carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Villefranche taking it.
  • Regular National 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Villefranche Clean Sheet 68%
Le Puy-en-Velay Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villefranche Le Puy-en-Velay
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Le Puy-en-Velay
2:3
Oct 17, 2025 Ligue 3
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Villefranche
3:0
Jul 21, 2023 Club Friendly
Villefranche vs Le Puy-en-Velay
2:1
Feb 24, 2023 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Le Puy-en-Velay
1:1
Sep 16, 2022 Ligue 3
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Villefranche
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villefranche Compare

Top Goalscorer Leye B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Le Puy-en-Velay Compare

Top Goalscorer Akkal S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diebold Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villefranche 59 / 100
Le Puy-en-Velay 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villefranche Le Puy-en-Velay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villefranche's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Le Puy-en-Velay let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Le Puy-en-Velay registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Villefranche VS Le Puy-en-Velay
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Villefranche

(Home)
15 Jul
Grenoble
5 : 2
Villefranche
15 May
Concarneau
2 : 2
Villefranche
02 May
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 0
Villefranche
24 Apr
Caen
3 : 0
Villefranche
17 Apr
Villefranche
3 : 1
Paris 13 Atletico
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Le Puy-en-Velay

(Away)
17 Jul
Montpellier
5 : 2
Le Puy-en-Velay
11 Jul
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1
Dijon
15 May
Sochaux
2 : 2
Le Puy-en-Velay
09 May
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 2
Dijon
01 May
Fleury-Merogis
4 : 0
Le Puy-en-Velay
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dijon321811352:2565
2Sochaux321610651:2658
3Rouen321413543:2955
4Fleury-Merogis32159847:3054
5Versailles32158946:3453
6Orleans32149942:4251
7Le Puy-en-Velay321211945:3847
8Caen32816839:3440
9Concarneau328141032:3738
10Valenciennes321081435:4437
11Aubagne FC329101338:4637
12Villefranche321071534:4537
13Quevilly32891534:4533
14Paris 13 Atletico327111426:4132
15Bourg Peronnas32871725:4431
16Chateauroux326131335:4930
17Stade Briochin325121535:5027
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)