Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vindbjart vs Madla IL

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Rogde I. A.
51' Event
Soras L.
55' Event
Svela S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 3 - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Vindbjart
30%
Draws
34%
Madla IL
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vindbjart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Vindbjart have won more games recently than Madla IL.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Vindbjart taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Vindbjart Clean Sheet 12%
Madla IL Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vindbjart Madla IL
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Vindbjart vs Madla IL
2:2
Oct 4, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Vindbjart vs Madla IL
5:2
Jun 7, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Madla IL vs Vindbjart
1:3
Oct 20, 2024 Division 3 - Group 2
Madla IL vs Vindbjart
0:0
Apr 13, 2024 Division 3 - Group 2
Vindbjart vs Madla IL
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vindbjart Compare

Top Goalscorer Ryger E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Madla IL Compare

Top Goalscorer Rogde I. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soras L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vindbjart 35 / 100
Madla IL 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vindbjart Madla IL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vindbjart found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Madla IL conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Vindbjart remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vindbjart VS Madla IL
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vindbjart

(Home)
28 Jun
Vindbjart
2 : 3
Stabaek 2
21 Jun
Akra
0 : 2
Vindbjart
13 Jun
Vindbjart
4 : 0
Haugesund 2
30 May
Vindbjart
2 : 2
Madla IL
23 May
Flekkeroy
2 : 0
Vindbjart
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Madla IL

(Away)
27 Jun
Madla IL
2 : 2
Mandalskameratene
22 Jun
Haugesund 2
3 : 2
Madla IL
13 Jun
Madla IL
3 : 1
Akra
30 May
Vindbjart
2 : 2
Madla IL
25 May
Madla IL
3 : 0
Hinna
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