Sport Picks

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Vinotinto vs San Antonio

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Serie B Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
48' Event
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Vinotinto and San Antonio finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Antonio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Vinotinto
39%
Draws
31%
San Antonio
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vinotinto come out ahead of San Antonio on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Vinotinto Clean Sheet 68%
San Antonio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vinotinto San Antonio
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 13
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Serie B
San Antonio vs Vinotinto
1:1
Sep 12, 2024 Serie B
Vinotinto vs San Antonio
0:0
Jul 23, 2024 Serie B
San Antonio vs Vinotinto
1:1
May 21, 2024 Serie B
Vinotinto vs San Antonio
0:0
Mar 27, 2024 Serie B
San Antonio vs Vinotinto
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vinotinto 41 / 100
San Antonio 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vinotinto San Antonio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vinotinto found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

San Antonio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Vinotinto remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vinotinto VS San Antonio
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vinotinto

(Home)
23 Jul
Independiente Juniors
2 : 0
Vinotinto
15 Jul
Vinotinto
2 : 1
EL Nacional
11 Jul
22 de Julio
0 : 1
Vinotinto
01 Jul
Vinotinto
1 : 2
Gualaceo
09 Jun
Nueve de Octubre
2 : 1
Vinotinto
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San Antonio

(Away)
22 Jul
San Antonio
0 : 0
Cumbaya
16 Jul
Atletico FC
4 : 1
San Antonio
11 Jul
San Antonio
1 : 1
Dep. Santo Domingo
03 Jul
CD Cuenca Juniors
1 : 0
San Antonio
10 Jun
San Antonio
4 : 2
LDU Portoviejo
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1897220:1134
2Independiente Juniors1887320:1131
3Atletico FC18710121:1331
4CD Cuenca Juniors1886419:1830
5Vinotinto1875623:1626
6Cumbaya1858519:1623
7LDU Portoviejo1864815:2122
8San Antonio1849520:2021
9Gualaceo1867513:1119
10Dep. Santo Domingo1857613:1319
1122 de Julio1843119:239
12EL Nacional18051310:292
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)