Sport Picks

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Vipers vs Lugazi

Uganda Uganda

Premier League 2025/2026 St. Mary's Stadium, Kitende
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Torach R.
30' Event
Usama A.
45' Event
Chukwuma O.

AI Match Summary

Vipers in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vipers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Vipers
20%
Draws
44%
Lugazi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lugazi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Vipers have won more games recently than Lugazi.
  • Model gives Vipers a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vipers have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Vipers Clean Sheet 68%
Lugazi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vipers Lugazi
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 11 8
Losses 2 16
Goals Scored 1.66 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.48 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.53
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 Premier League
Vipers vs Lugazi
3:0
Dec 17, 2025 Premier League
Lugazi vs Vipers
1:2
Apr 3, 2025 Premier League
Vipers vs Lugazi
1:0
Sep 26, 2024 Premier League
Lugazi vs Vipers
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vipers Compare

Top Goalscorer Torach R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Usama A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Lugazi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.29

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vipers 77 / 100
Lugazi 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vipers Lugazi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vipers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vipers scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Lugazi let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Solid form: Vipers remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vipers VS Lugazi
1.38 Goals Scored 0.57
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 43%
38% Over 2.5 29%
0% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Vipers

(Home)
19 Sept
Vipers
3 : 0
Ntugasaze
13 Sept
Nouadhibou
0 : 0
Vipers
05 Sept
Vipers
1 : 1
Nouadhibou
28 Aug
Vipers
0 : 1
Entebbe UPPC
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
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Lugazi

(Away)
16 Sept
Lugazi
0 : 2
Police
09 Sept
Entebbe UPPC
0 : 1
Lugazi
01 Sept
NEC FC
3 : 1
Lugazi
29 Aug
Lugazi
2 : 1
Kigezi HomeBoyz
23 May
Lugazi
0 : 1
Maroons
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2026/2027 (Main)