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Virton vs Tubize-Braine

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 Stade Yvan Georges, Virton
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Mballa Amougou E.

AI Match Summary

Virton in this National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Virton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Virton
33%
Draws
40%
Tubize-Braine
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Tubize-Braine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Virton lately — more wins on the board than Tubize-Braine.
  • Tubize-Braine are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Virton Clean Sheet 20%
Tubize-Braine Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virton Tubize-Braine
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 21 15
Draws 3 8
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 2.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Tubize-Braine vs Virton
2:1
Mar 21, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Virton vs Tubize-Braine
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Virton vs Tubize-Braine
3:3
Oct 25, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
Tubize-Braine vs Virton
2:0
May 3, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
Virton vs Tubize-Braine
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Virton Compare

Top Goalscorer Mballa Amougou E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Tubize-Braine Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virton 28 / 100
Tubize-Braine 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virton Tubize-Braine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Virton scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Tubize-Braine has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Virton remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Virton VS Tubize-Braine
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Virton

(Home)
22 Jul
Virton
1 : 0
Hostert
18 Jul
Bissen
0 : 2
Virton
15 Jul
RAAL La Louviere
3 : 1
Virton
11 Jul
Dudelange
4 : 0
Virton
10 May
Virton
2 : 0
Habay La Neuve
Page 1 of 6

Tubize-Braine

(Away)
10 May
Tubize-Braine
3 : 2
Union Rochefortoise
03 May
Meux
2 : 2
Tubize-Braine
25 Apr
Renaissance Mons
0 : 0
Tubize-Braine
18 Apr
Tubize-Braine
2 : 0
Habay La Neuve
11 Apr
Tubize-Braine
2 : 1
Virton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Virton1070318:1345
2Renaissance Mons1063119:843
3Tubize-Braine1044213:1140
4Meux1041515:1631
5Habay La Neuve103169:1528
6Union Rochefortoise1011812:2320
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