Sport Picks
Virtus Castelfranco vs Castelvetro
Italy
Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus Castelfranco
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Castelvetro lately — more wins on the board than Virtus Castelfranco.
- 53% — that's where the model lands on Virtus Castelfranco taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Virtus Castelfranco Clean Sheet 20%
Castelvetro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Virtus Castelfranco | Castelvetro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.22 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 26, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Virtus Castelfranco vs Castelvetro
2:2
Nov 13, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Castelvetro vs Virtus Castelfranco
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Virtus Castelfranco 85 / 100
Castelvetro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Virtus Castelfranco Castelvetro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Virtus Castelfranco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Castelvetro let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.
Virtus Castelfranco found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Virtus Castelfranco has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Castelvetro
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Virtus Castelfranco
(Home) 07 May
Virtus Castelfranco
2 : 1 Fiorenzuola
30 Apr
Rignanese
1 : 3 Virtus Castelfranco
23 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 1 Ribelle
13 Apr
Delta Porto Tolle
0 : 1 Virtus Castelfranco
09 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 3 Sangiovannese
Page 1 of 6
07 May
Virtus Castelfranco
2 : 1 Fiorenzuola
23 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 1 Ribelle
09 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 3 Sangiovannese
26 Mar
Virtus Castelfranco
2 : 2 Castelvetro
05 Mar
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 2 Lentigione
Page 1 of 3
Castelvetro
(Away) 21 Jul
Modena
9 : 0 Castelvetro
20 May
Castelvetro
0 : 2 Mezzolara
06 May
Romagna Centro
2 : 0 Castelvetro
29 Apr
Castelvetro
2 : 0 Sporting Trestina
22 Apr
Mezzolara
1 : 3 Castelvetro
Page 1 of 7
21 Jul
Modena
9 : 0 Castelvetro
06 May
Romagna Centro
2 : 0 Castelvetro
22 Apr
Mezzolara
1 : 3 Castelvetro
08 Apr
Imolese
4 : 1 Castelvetro
25 Mar
Lentigione
1 : 0 Castelvetro
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ravenna | 34 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 52:26 | 65 |
| 2 | Imolese | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 60:35 | 63 |
| 3 | Delta Porto Tolle | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 57:37 | 61 |
| 4 | Lentigione | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 40:31 | 58 |
| 5 | Correggese | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:48 | 56 |
| 6 | Castelvetro | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 60:57 | 50 |
| 7 | Scandicci | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 45:55 | 46 |
| 8 | Pianese | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 46:48 | 46 |
| 9 | Mezzolara | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 44:46 | 45 |
| 10 | Rignanese | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 34:35 | 44 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50:48 | 44 |
| 12 | Fiorenzuola | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 39:45 | 43 |
| 13 | Colligiana | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 46:47 | 43 |
| 14 | Adriese | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 46:51 | 39 |
| 15 | Ribelle | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 45:46 | 38 |
| 16 | Sangiovannese | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 42:51 | 37 |
| 17 | Virtus Castelfranco | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 25:41 | 33 |
| 18 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 24:66 | 21 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2016/2017 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
