Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Virtus Castelfranco vs Rignanese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Virtus Castelfranco
20%
Draws
33%
Rignanese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Virtus Castelfranco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rignanese lately — more wins on the board than Virtus Castelfranco.
  • Model gives Virtus Castelfranco a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Virtus Castelfranco Clean Sheet 20%
Rignanese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virtus Castelfranco Rignanese
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.8 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Rignanese vs Virtus Castelfranco
1:3
Dec 11, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Virtus Castelfranco vs Rignanese
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virtus Castelfranco 40 / 100
Rignanese 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virtus Castelfranco Rignanese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virtus Castelfranco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rignanese conceded in 82% of 34 recent games.

Virtus Castelfranco scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Virtus Castelfranco stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rignanese
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Virtus Castelfranco

(Home)
07 May
Virtus Castelfranco
2 : 1
Fiorenzuola
30 Apr
Rignanese
1 : 3
Virtus Castelfranco
23 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 1
Ribelle
13 Apr
Delta Porto Tolle
0 : 1
Virtus Castelfranco
09 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 3
Sangiovannese
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Rignanese

(Away)
20 May
Rignanese
0 : 2
Scandicci
06 May
Rignanese
0 : 3
Argentina
29 Apr
Ligorna
0 : 3
Rignanese
22 Apr
Rignanese
1 : 0
Valdinievole Montecatini
15 Apr
Real Forte Querceta
1 : 1
Rignanese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ravenna 34 17 14 3 52:26 65
2 Imolese 34 18 9 7 60:35 63
3 Delta Porto Tolle 34 17 10 7 57:37 61
4 Lentigione 34 16 10 8 40:31 58
5 Correggese 34 16 8 10 58:48 56
6 Castelvetro 34 15 5 14 60:57 50
7 Scandicci 34 13 7 14 45:55 46
8 Pianese 34 12 10 12 46:48 46
9 Mezzolara 34 11 12 11 44:46 45
10 Rignanese 34 11 11 12 34:35 44
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 11 12 50:48 44
12 Fiorenzuola 34 12 7 15 39:45 43
13 Colligiana 34 10 13 11 46:47 43
14 Adriese 34 11 6 17 46:51 39
15 Ribelle 34 8 15 11 45:46 38
16 Sangiovannese 34 10 7 17 42:51 37
17 Virtus Castelfranco 34 8 9 17 25:41 33
18 Poggibonsi 34 6 4 24 24:66 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2016/2017 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 (Play Offs)